YESTERDAY

SF   0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -- 1
STL  0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -- 2

The Cardinals won the series opener last night, 2-1, scoring twice in the bottom of the fifth on RBI singles from Alec Burleson and Leo Bernal. Quinn Mathews worked 6.2 innings and struck out 8, with Leo Bernal going 3-for-4 to pace the offense.

NL CENTRAL STANDINGS

TeamW-LGBStrk
Brewers93-57-L1
Cubs84-679.5W1
Pirates75-7518.0W1
Cardinals75-7618.5W2
Reds70-8023.0L1

NL WEST STANDINGS

TeamW-LGBStrk
Dodgers91-59-W1
Padres82-689.0W8
D-backs80-7111.5W1
Giants62-8929.5L4
Rockies55-9536.0L8

RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)

DateOppH/AResult
Sep 14SFHomeW 2-1
Sep 13CWSHomeW 3-1
Sep 12CWSHomeL 5-6
Sep 11CWSHomeW 7-3
Sep 9SFAwayL 6-7
Sep 8SFAwayL 1-2
Sep 7SFAwayL 4-5 (11)
Sep 6COLAwayW 10-8
Sep 5COLAwayL 7-10
Sep 4COLAwayW 7-6

STARTING PITCHERS

Andre Pallante (R), Cardinals: Pallante is 12-6 with a 3.45 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 102 strikeouts, and 45 walks across 146.0 innings in 26 starts. His ERA ranks 41st of 120 NL pitchers with at least 60 innings, above average by this season's cutoff of 3.56. His WHIP of 1.23 ranks 48th of the same group, also clearing the above-average threshold. The knock on his profile is a 16.9% strikeout rate -- 103rd of 120 in that group -- which falls below the below-average cutoff of 18.3%. He compensates with an exceptional ground-ball rate of 62.4%, 5th of those 120 NL pitchers, and his walk rate of 7.5% ranks 51st. Tonight he works at home, where his 2026 ERA stands at 4.02 compared with 2.76 on the road.

Blade Tidwell (R), San Francisco Giants: Tidwell enters his eighth start of the season at 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 38 strikeouts, and 20 walks across 46.2 innings. His strikeout rate is 19.3% and his walk rate is 10.2%. The home-road gap in his profile is pronounced: a 5.88 ERA at home against a 3.48 ERA on the road. Tonight he pitches at Busch Stadium -- a road start, the setting where he has been more effective this season.

EXPECTED LINEUPS

Cardinals (Yesterday's lineup from 2026-09-14)

#PlayerPosBats2026 RISP AVG2026 RISP OPS2026 Slash
1Saggese2BR.250.651.268/.321/.417
2HerreraDHR.238.744.243/.356/.375
3Burleson1BL.365.954.285/.352/.467
4WalkerRFR.291.957.281/.337/.487
5BernalCS.4441.252SSS
6BáezLFR.200.636SSS
7Gorman3BL.221.668.185/.263/.315
8WinnSSR.256.690.236/.311/.323
9ChurchCFL.290.756.252/.297/.373

Handedness: 5 RHB (Saggese, Herrera, Walker, Báez, Winn), 3 LHB (Burleson, Gorman, Church), 1 SHB (Bernal).

Giants (Yesterday's lineup from 2026-09-14)

#PlayerPosBats2026 RISP AVG2026 RISP OPS2026 Slash
1Cox2BR.316.824.279/.316/.441
2Eldridge1BL.277.734.269/.361/.454
3Whitcomb2BR.200.560SSS
4HillDHL.333.804SSS
5Harris3BR.000.000SSS
6BanduraRFL.000.000SSS
7KniznerCR.000.200SSS
8McCrayLFL.000.083SSS
9KossSSR.167.386.229/.277/.331

Handedness: 5 RHB (Cox, Whitcomb, Harris, Knizner, Koss), 4 LHB (Eldridge, Hill, Bandura, McCray).

INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES

Cardinals

Andre Pallante -- 2026-09-04: St. Louis Cardinals activated RHP Andre Pallante from the 15-day injured list.

Masyn Winn -- 2026-09-08: St. Louis Cardinals activated SS Masyn Winn from the 10-day injured list.

Giants

Adrian Houser -- 2026-09-01: San Francisco Giants transferred RHP Adrian Houser from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right forearm strain.

Keaton Winn -- 2026-09-03: San Francisco Giants transferred RHP Keaton Winn from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right elbow neuritis.

Jesus Rodriguez -- 2026-09-04: San Francisco Giants placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 60-day injured list. Right elbow neuritis.

Andre Pallante, activated from the 15-day injured list on September 4, slots in as the probable starter tonight -- his return gives the Cardinals rotation depth at a critical stretch of the season. Masyn Winn, back from the 10-day injured list since September 8, is in the lineup at shortstop.

San Francisco's injury picture has deepened in recent weeks. Adrian Houser and Keaton Winn both moved to the 60-day injured list -- Houser with a right forearm strain, Winn with right elbow neuritis -- and catcher Jesus Rodriguez joined them on the 60-day list with right elbow neuritis as well, thinning the Giants' depth behind the plate and in the rotation.

2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER

PlayerPAABHAVGOBPSLGHRBBK
Alec Burleson321.500.667.500010
Nolan Gorman200--.500--010

Small sample: Alec Burleson (3 PA), Nolan Gorman (2 PA).

Two Cardinals carry career BvP against Blade Tidwell, and both samples are too small to carry signal. Alec Burleson is 1-for-2 with a walk across 3 plate appearances; Nolan Gorman has drawn one walk in 2 plate appearances without recording an at-bat. Neither clears the 10-PA threshold for meaningful history. The other seven starters enter this matchup without any prior plate appearances against him, leaving the lineup to lean on his 2026 platoon and home/away splits for context.

No significant bench BvP history.

2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER

PlayerPAABHAVGOBPSLGHRBBK
Grant McCray220.000.000.000002
Bryce Eldridge210.000.500.000011
Christian Koss100--1.000--010

Small sample: Grant McCray (2 PA), Bryce Eldridge (2 PA), Christian Koss (1 PA).

Only three Giants have career BvP against Andre Pallante, and none of the samples clear two plate appearances. Grant McCray went 0-for-2 with two strikeouts; Bryce Eldridge drew a walk in two plate appearances and did not reach on a hit; Christian Koss drew a walk in his one plate appearance. The history is too thin to carry a meaningful edge for either side.

2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS

PlayerPAAVGOBPSLGHRBBK2026 PA2026 AVG2026 OPSLeads
Alec Burleson L419.296.353.478153259438.316.936leads 2026
Masyn Winn R374.251.309.36872371375.220.597leads 2026
Iván Herrera R328.268.343.399102466467.241.711leads 2026
Nolan Gorman L309.201.294.349937111239.184.589leads 2026
Jordan Walker R289.200.263.29142194456.277.794leads 2026
Thomas Saggese R227.254.305.3401156394.270.658leads 2026
Nathan Church L51.114.216.1821314336.258.688leads 2026

2026 companion columns: sample floor is 60 PA vs RHP (below floor renders SSS in the table above). Above that floor the 2026 vs-hand figure leads the read, with 2025 as the historical anchor; below it, 2025 leads.

Blade Tidwell is a right-hander who holds right-handed batters to a .471 OPS this season across 86 batters faced, while left-handed batters have reached him for a .898 OPS across 111 batters faced. St. Louis sends three left-handed bats -- Alec Burleson, Nolan Gorman, and Nathan Church -- against that weaker side.

Burleson is the most dangerous of the three. His 2026 line vs. right-handed pitching reads .316/.353/.583 across 438 PA, a .936 OPS that ranks 6th of 223 NL batters with at least 60 plate appearances vs right-handed pitching (league average .704). Jordan Walker, batting fourth from the right side, carries a .794 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2026 across 456 PA, 47th of those 223. Iván Herrera adds a .711 OPS vs. right-handers across 467 PA in 2026, 114th of 223 (league average .704).

Gorman's 2026 line against right-handers reads .184 AVG and a .589 OPS across 239 PA, 184th of the 223 NL batters in that vs-right-handed-pitching pool. Church shows a .688 OPS vs. right-handers across 336 PA in 2026, 126th of 223 (league average .704). Masyn Winn, batting eighth, posts a .597 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2026 across 375 PA, 181st of 223. Thomas Saggese carries a .658 OPS in 94 PA vs. right-handers in 2026, 151st of 223. Joshua Baez carries a .655 OPS in 61 PA vs. right-handers, 154th of 223. Leo Bernal's 2026 sample against right-handed pitching is too small to compare reliably.

2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT

PlayerPAAVGOBPSLGHRBBK2026 PA2026 AVG2026 OPSLeads
Christian Koss R144.260.298.3893728130.229.546leads 2026
Andrew Knizner R63.192.306.25007720SSSSSSleads 2025
Brett Harris R53.304.377.39104127SSSSSSleads 2025
Bryce Eldridge L35.115.314.1920713300.258.791leads 2026
Grant McCray L22.111.190.22202958SSSSSSleads 2025
Shay Whitcomb R22.136.136.13600964.203.632leads 2026

2026 companion columns: sample floor is 60 PA vs RHP (below floor renders SSS in the table above). Above that floor the 2026 vs-hand figure leads the read, with 2025 as the historical anchor; below it, 2025 leads.

Andre Pallante is stronger against right-handed batters this season, allowing a .623 OPS, compared with .696 against left-handed batters. The Giants send five right-handed bats against that stronger side -- Jonah Cox, Shay Whitcomb, Brett Harris, Andrew Knizner, and Christian Koss -- and four left-handed hitters against the weaker: Bryce Eldridge, Turner Hill, Scott Bandura, and Grant McCray.

Among the right-handed bats, Christian Koss leads the 2026 read with 130 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, batting .229 with a .546 OPS. Shay Whitcomb's 2026 sample of 64 PA vs. right-handers clears the floor: .203 average, .632 OPS. Brett Harris carries a 2025 baseline of .304/.377/.391 across 53 PA against right-handers; his 2026 sample of 7 PA is too small to rate. Andrew Knizner's 2025 line against right-handers reads .192/.306/.250 across 63 PA; his 2026 sample of 20 PA is too small to rate.

On the left-handed side, Bryce Eldridge leads the 2026 read with 300 PA against right-handers: .258 average, .791 OPS. Eldridge ranks 30th of 167 NL hitters with at least 200 plate appearances in OPS (.815), excellent by this season's cutoff of .793. His 2026 figure against right-handers (.791 OPS) reflects his weaker platoon side -- he is stronger against left-handers this season at .866 OPS. Grant McCray's 2025 line against right-handers reads .111/.190/.222 across 22 PA; his 2026 sample of 58 PA is too small to rate. Turner Hill and Scott Bandura have no 2025 plate appearances against right-handers on file.

2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS

PitchervsPAAVGOBPSLGOPSHRK2026 BF2026 AVG2026 OPSLeads
Andre Pallantevs LHB347.266.329.434.7631060333.256.696leads 2026
Andre Pallantevs RHB368.275.345.429.7741151269.236.623leads 2026
Blade Tidwellvs LHB31.320.419.560.97924111.286.898leads 2026
Blade Tidwellvs RHB47.366.447.5611.0082686.175.471leads 2026

Andre Pallante faces a Giants lineup carrying five right-handed batters and four left-handed batters. His 2026 splits split cleanly by hand: .623 OPS allowed against right-handed batters across 269 batters faced, compared with .696 OPS allowed against left-handed batters across 333 batters faced -- right-handed bats are his stronger side this season. That .623 OPS against right-handers ranks 71st of 236 NL pitchers with at least 60 batters faced vs right-handed batters; his .696 against left-handers ranks 99th of 222 NL pitchers with at least 60 batters faced vs left-handed batters. The Giants' four left-handed bats -- Bryce Eldridge, Turner Hill, Scott Bandura, and Grant McCray -- land on the side he has allowed more damage against in 2026.

Blade Tidwell faces a Cardinals lineup carrying five right-handed batters, three left-handed batters, and one switch-hitter. His 2026 split is sharply polarized: .471 OPS allowed against right-handed batters across 86 batters faced, compared with .898 OPS allowed against left-handed batters across 111 batters faced -- right-handed bats are his stronger side this season. The .471 OPS against right-handers ranks 12th of 236 NL pitchers with at least 60 batters faced vs right-handed batters; the .898 against left-handers ranks 199th of 222. The Cardinals' three left-handed bats -- Alec Burleson, Nolan Gorman, and Nathan Church -- face the side where Tidwell has allowed the most damage in 2026, while the five right-handed bats in the lineup land on his strongest split.

2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS

PitcherSplitBFIPERAKBBHR2026 IP2026 ERA
Andre PallanteAway37584.24.8967351165.12.76
Andre PallanteHome34078.05.4244271080.24.02
Blade TidwellAway5810.29.2878220.23.48
Blade TidwellHome204.14.1532226.05.88

Andre Pallante takes the mound at home tonight, where he has been the less productive version of himself this season. His 2026 home ERA of 4.02 ranks 101st of 185 NL pitchers with at least 20 innings at home, against a 2026 road ERA of 2.76 that ranks 30th of 179 NL pitchers with at least 20 innings on the road. The 2025 baseline carries the same pattern: a 4.89 ERA away (84.2 IP) against a 5.42 ERA at home (78.0 IP). Pitching at Busch Stadium is the unfavorable half of that split tonight.

Blade Tidwell comes in as the road team, which is the side of that split where he has been stronger this season. His 2026 away ERA is 3.48 over 20.2 innings, compared with a 5.88 home ERA that ranks 164th of 185 NL pitchers with at least 20 innings at home. His 2025 sample is thin -- 10.2 innings away (9.28 ERA) and 4.1 innings at home (4.15 ERA) -- too small to read as a baseline. The 2026 figures are the operative read: Tidwell pitching away from Oracle Park has produced sharply better results than his home showings.

2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)

PitcherTTOPAAVGSLGOPSHRKBB2026 BF2026 AVG2026 OPS
Andre PallanteTTO1279.266.393.72063521234.274.718
Andre PallanteTTO2270.309.487.86884627234.216.605
Andre PallanteTTO3166.217.408.69173014134.254.673
Blade TidwellTTO136----36 PA24663.269.823
Blade TidwellTTO235----35 PA25263.220.677
Blade TidwellTTO37----7 PA01224SSSSSS

Andre Pallante has pitched into a third pass in 24 of 26 starts. In the 24 starts he pitched into a third pass, hitters posted a .608 OPS on the second pass -- 216 PA. From the third pass on in those same starts: .673 OPS -- 134 PA. Early hooks: 2 starts, 18 PA. Blade Tidwell has pitched into a third pass in 7 of 7 starts. In the 7 starts he pitched into a third pass, hitters posted a .677 OPS on the second pass -- 63 PA. From the third pass on in those same starts: 24 PA. Early hooks: 0 starts, 0 PA. Per-pass rate stats resting on fewer than 50 PA render as their PA count, never as a decimal; 2026 companion columns carry their own 60 BF floor (below floor renders SSS).

Andre Pallante has pitched into a third pass in 24 of his 26 starts. In the 24 starts he reached a third pass (a third time through the batting order), the second pass carried a .608 OPS across 216 PA; from the third pass on in those same starts, hitters posted a .673 OPS across 134 PA. The 2026 first-pass line -- .718 OPS across 234 batters faced -- is his weakest pass this season, with the second pass (.605 OPS, 234 BF) his sharpest and the third (.673 OPS, 134 BF) settling between them.

Blade Tidwell has pitched into a third pass in all 7 of his starts. His 2026 first-pass line reads .823 OPS across 63 batters faced; the second pass drops to .677 OPS across 63 BF. The third pass rests on 24 batters faced in 2026, too small a sample to report split rates reliably. The 2025 first- and second-pass samples (36 PA and 35 PA, respectively) each fall below 50 plate appearances and carry no rate stats. The shape through two passes runs from first (.823) to second (.677) -- Tidwell steadies as lineups turn over once.

2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE

RelieverIRScoredStrand%2026 IP2026 ERA2026 WHIP
Kyle Leahy291162.1%135.03.331.31
Gordon Graceffo11554.5%76.02.611.04
Riley O'Brien10370.0%61.04.131.28
Michael McGreevy30100.0%160.03.831.24

Riley O'Brien leads the group with a 2025 strand rate of 70.0% across 10 inherited runners, sitting above the group's middle tier. Kyle Leahy has stranded 62.1% of his 29 inherited runners in 2025 -- the heaviest volume in the group -- while posting a 3.33 ERA and 1.31 WHIP across 135.0 innings in 2026. Gordon Graceffo's 54.5% strand rate on 11 inherited runners in 2025 is the lowest among the four, though his 2026 ERA of 2.61 and WHIP of 1.04 over 76.0 innings reflect strong current form. Michael McGreevy has stranded all 3 of his 2025 inherited runners (100.0%), a sample of 3 too small to draw conclusions from; he carries a 3.83 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across 160.0 innings in 2026. 2025's league average strand rate was 68.8%, a historical baseline under a statsapi proxy.

2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP

Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (2025)

PitcherBIPGB%FB%LD%
Andre Pallante51561.2%18.3%19.6%
Blade Tidwell5335.8%35.8%26.4%

Sample floor is 50 balls in play (PROVISIONAL): below floor renders "--" in the table above -- cite the raw BIP/AB count instead of the rate.

Hitter Batted Ball Results (2025) -- SF

HitterGB AVGLD AVGFB AVG2026 GO+AO2026 GO%
Bryce Eldridge------16345.4%
Brett Harris------9SSS
Andrew Knizner------29SSS
Christian Koss.250----8955.1%
Grant McCray------36SSS
Shay Whitcomb------48SSS

Sample floor is 50 balls in play (PROVISIONAL): below floor renders "--" in the table above -- cite the raw BIP/AB count instead of the rate.

2025 GB% types every ball in play; 2026 GO% is the ground-out share of outs in play (GO / (GO+AO), statsapi) -- different measures, both labeled. 2026 GO% reads "SSS" below 50 GO+AO; at or above it the 2026 figure leads and the 2025 GB% is last season's.

Andre Pallante generates ground balls at a 2025 rate of 61.2% (515 balls in play), and his 2026 ground-ball rate of 62.4% ranks 5th of 120 NL pitchers with at least 60 innings. The Giants' lineup gives him a contact profile to work with: Bryce Eldridge's 2026 ground-out share is 45.4% across 163 outs in play, and Christian Koss sits at 55.1% across 89 outs in play -- the two Giants with enough 2026 sample to read. Koss's 2025 ground-ball average was .250 across 64 at-bats, the only publishable split rate in the hitter table; the remaining Giants' 2025 samples are each below 50 balls in play, so no rate applies. Blade Tidwell's 2025 profile, at 35.8% ground balls and 35.8% fly balls across 53 balls in play, sits on the opposite side of the contact spectrum from Pallante -- the Cardinals can expect more air contact when Tidwell is on the mound.

2H: BATTERY PAIRING

CatcherGIPERAAVGOBPSLG
Pedro Pagés1576.14.60.257----
Yohel Pozo837.26.93.303----
Jimmy Crooks523.14.24.258----
Iván Herrera523.24.56.271----

Leo Bernal catches Andre Pallante tonight -- a pairing with no innings on file together. The 2025 battery data above shows Pallante's results with four other catchers; Bernal appears in none of those rows, making this a fresh combination at the start.

Of the four catchers in the table, Iván Herrera starts tonight at DH, not behind the plate. The remaining three -- Pedro Pagés (15 games, 76.1 IP, 4.60 ERA), Yohel Pozo (8 games, 37.2 IP, 6.93 ERA), and Jimmy Crooks (5 games, 23.1 IP, 4.24 ERA) -- are not on the current active roster. The 2025 figures carry historical context only; no carryover applies to tonight's pairing.

2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP

The opponent's most active baserunners in 2026 are Grant McCray and Christian Koss, each with 5 stolen bases and 0 caught stealing -- though neither has reached the attempts floor for a published success rate. Bryce Eldridge has 1 steal in 2026 with no caught stealings. From 2025, Koss went 4-for-5 and Brett Harris 1-for-1, but again neither sample clears the floor for a rate.

Behind the plate for St. Louis, Pedro Pages has caught 17 of 55 baserunners in 2026, a 30.9 CS% across 500.1 innings. Leo Bernal, who starts tonight at catcher, has allowed 11 steals and caught 3 in 14 attempts -- not enough attempts for a reliable rate, so Pages's mark is the Cardinals' season benchmark behind the plate.

For the opponent, Drew Cavanaugh has caught 9 of 46 runners in 2026, a 19.6 CS% across 333.2 innings. Andrew Knizner, who starts tonight at catcher, has allowed 14 steals and caught 1 in 15 attempts -- not enough attempts for a reliable rate.

2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT

PlayerPOSGDPEFld%
Masyn WinnSS1296430.994
Jordan WalkerRF108240.981
Nolan Gorman3B541160.950
Alec Burleson1B502740.990
Alec BurlesonLF41001.000
Thomas Saggese2B352440.973
Alec BurlesonRF34110.983
Thomas SaggeseSS33710.988
Nolan Gorman2B28910.990
Nathan ChurchCF18001.000
Thomas Saggese3B18020.939
Iván HerreraC14010.989
Nathan ChurchRF7010.833
Nolan Gorman1B7401.000
Nathan ChurchLF5001.000
Iván HerreraLF4001.000
Alec BurlesonP100--

Tonight's Cardinals lineup, projected from last night's, places Thomas Saggese at second base, Iván Herrera at DH, Alec Burleson at first base, Jordan Walker in right field, Leo Bernal at catcher, Joshua Báez in left field, Nolan Gorman at third base, Masyn Winn at shortstop, and Nathan Church in center field. The 2025 fielding record for players in tonight's starting positions follows.

Masyn Winn at shortstop is the anchor of the infield: 129 games at SS in 2025, 64 double plays turned, 3 errors, .994 fielding percentage. Jordan Walker's 2025 right field record covers 108 games, 2 double plays, 4 errors, and a .981 fielding percentage. Alec Burleson logged 50 games at first base in 2025, turning 27 double plays against 4 errors for a .990 fielding percentage; he also carries a 41-game left field record (0 errors, 1.000) and a 34-game right field record (.983). Thomas Saggese has 35 games at second base in 2025 (24 double plays, 4 errors, .973) and 33 games at shortstop (7 double plays, 1 error, .988). Nolan Gorman's primary 2025 position in this table is third base: 54 games, 11 double plays, 6 errors, .950 fielding percentage; he also has 28 games at second base (.990) and 7 at first base (1.000). Nathan Church's center field record in 2025 covers 18 games, no errors, 1.000 fielding percentage. Iván Herrera is in the DH slot tonight; his 2025 catching record (14 games, 1 error, .989) is on file but does not apply to a defensive position tonight. Joshua Báez has no 2025 fielding record in this table; no defensive figures apply to his start tonight.

2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Cardinals have gone 14-12 against the San Francisco Giants across the 2022-2025 stretch, with winning records in three of those four seasons (4-2 in 2025, 5-1 in 2024, 4-3 in 2022) and a 1-6 mark in 2023 as the lone down year. St. Louis carries a 1-0 series lead into tonight's game two at Busch Stadium.

2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE

Cardinals

PlayerPAKK%BBBB%2026 PA2026 K%2026 BB%
Alec Burleson5447914.5%397.2%63417.0%8.7%
Masyn Winn53710219.0%346.3%50821.3%8.9%
Iván Herrera4508418.7%439.6%67418.2%10.8%
Nolan Gorman40213633.8%4711.7%28532.6%9.8%
Jordan Walker39612631.8%297.3%62325.4%7.4%
Thomas Saggese2958328.1%165.4%14025.7%7.9%
Nathan Church651827.7%34.6%43217.4%5.6%

Alec Burleson and Iván Herrera are the lineup's most reliable contact options. Burleson's 2026 K% of 17.0% is below the league average of 22.1%, and his 2025 figure of 14.5% across 544 plate appearances reinforces that profile. Herrera's 2026 K% of 18.2% also sits below the league average of 22.1%, consistent with his 2025 mark of 18.7% across 450 plate appearances. Nolan Gorman and Jordan Walker carry the lineup's heaviest strikeout exposure: Gorman's 2026 K% is 32.6% (2025: 33.8% across 402 PA), and Walker's 2026 K% is 25.4% (2025: 31.8% across 396 PA). Thomas Saggese's 2026 K% of 25.7% is above the league average of 22.1%, with a 2025 mark of 28.1% across 295 PA; his 2026 BB% of 7.9% is below the league average of 8.9%, echoing his 2025 BB% of 5.4%.

Giants

PlayerPAKK%BBBB%2026 PA2026 K%2026 BB%
Christian Koss1914523.6%94.7%18123.8%5.0%
Andrew Knizner881011.4%78.0%53SSSSSS
Brett Harris842125.0%78.3%16SSSSSS
Bryce Eldridge371335.1%718.9%43826.7%12.8%
Shay Whitcomb321031.3%00.0%9227.2%3.3%
Grant McCray261142.3%27.7%8130.9%12.3%

Bryce Eldridge stands out in the Giants' lineup on both ends of the discipline ledger: his 2026 K% of 26.7% is above the league average of 22.1%, while his 2026 BB% of 12.8% is well above the league average of 8.9%. His 2025 sample across 37 plate appearances showed a K% of 35.1% and a BB% of 18.9%, though the 37-PA sample is too small to read reliably against his larger 2026 figure. Jonah Cox's 2026 K% of 36.9% is above the league average of 22.1%. Grant McCray's 2026 K% of 30.9% and Shay Whitcomb's 2026 K% of 27.2% also exceed the league average of 22.1%. Christian Koss's 2026 BB% of 5.0% is below the league average of 8.9%. Andrew Knizner's 2026 sample of 53 plate appearances is too small to show split rates reliably; his 2025 K% of 11.4% across 88 PA was the group's lowest contact concern on file.

2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE

Cardinals

PlayerBIPGB%FB%LD%2026 GO+AO2026 GO%
Alec Burleson39842.0%33.4%24.6%30351.8%
Masyn Winn37639.6%34.0%26.3%24245.9%
Iván Herrera28552.6%21.8%25.6%31155.9%
Jordan Walker23148.9%29.4%21.6%25548.6%
Nolan Gorman19930.2%41.7%28.1%11734.2%
Thomas Saggese18941.8%29.6%28.6%5944.1%
Nathan Church37------22948.0%

Blade Tidwell's 2026 ground-ball rate sits at 36.2%, below the league average of 47.0%, and last season his batted-ball profile across 53 balls in play ran nearly even between ground balls (35.8%) and fly balls (35.8%). The Cardinals' lineup tilts toward ground-ball and line-drive contact against him. Iván Herrera leads the group with a last-season GB% of 52.6% across 285 balls in play; his 2026 ground-out share of 55.9% (311 GO+AO) leads as well. Jordan Walker posted a last-season GB% of 48.9% across 231 balls in play, with a 2026 GO% of 48.6% across 255 GO+AO. Nolan Gorman is the lineup's clearest fly-ball profile: last-season FB% of 41.7% across 199 balls in play, with a 2026 GO% of 34.2% across 117 GO+AO. Nathan Church's last-season sample of 37 balls in play is too small to report split rates reliably; his 2026 GO% is 48.0% across 229 GO+AO.

Giants

PlayerBIPGB%FB%LD%2026 GO+AO2026 GO%
Christian Koss12451.6%24.2%24.2%8955.1%
Andrew Knizner6647.0%33.3%19.7%29SSS
Brett Harris5151.0%31.4%17.6%9SSS
Shay Whitcomb21------48SSS
Bryce Eldridge15------16345.4%
Grant McCray11------36SSS

Sample floor is 50 balls in play (PROVISIONAL): below floor renders "--" in the table above -- cite the raw BIP/AB count instead of the rate.

2025 GB% types every ball in play; 2026 GO% is the ground-out share of outs in play (GO / (GO+AO), statsapi) -- different measures, both labeled. 2026 GO% reads "SSS" below 50 GO+AO; at or above it the 2026 figure leads and the 2025 GB% is last season's.

Andre Pallante's 2026 ground-ball rate is 62.4%, above the league average of 47.0%, and last season his profile across 515 balls in play ran 61.2% ground balls. He generates ground contact at a high rate, which shapes how the Giants' batted-ball tendencies interact with his approach. Among the Giants' hitters with publishable last-season rates, Christian Koss shows the most ground-ball contact: 51.6% GB% across 124 balls in play, with a 2026 GO% of 55.1% across 89 GO+AO. Andrew Knizner posted a last-season GB% of 47.0% across 66 balls in play; his 2026 GO+AO of 29 is too small to report a 2026 GO% reliably. Brett Harris shows a last-season GB% of 51.0% across 51 balls in play; his 2026 GO+AO of 9 is too small to report a 2026 GO% reliably. Shay Whitcomb's last-season sample of 21 balls in play is too small to report split rates reliably; his 2026 GO+AO of 48 is too small to report a 2026 GO% reliably. Bryce Eldridge's last-season sample of 15 balls in play is too small to report split rates reliably; his 2026 GO% is 45.4% across 163 GO+AO. Grant McCray's last-season sample of 11 balls in play is too small to report split rates reliably; his 2026 GO+AO of 36 is too small to report a 2026 GO% reliably.

2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE

PitcherIPKK%BBBB%K/BB
Andre Pallante162.211115.5%628.7%1.79
Blade Tidwell15.01012.8%1012.8%1.00

The table carries 2025 figures. Andre Pallante's 2025 line across 715 batters faced shows 111 strikeouts against 62 walks, a 1.79 K/BB ratio. His 2026 K% of 16.9% ranks 103rd of 120 NL pitchers with at least 60 innings -- below average by this season's cutoff of 18.3% in that group (league average 22.5%). His 2026 BB% of 7.5% ranks 51st of 120 in the same group (league average 8.3%), placing him at the average tier by this season's cutoffs.

Blade Tidwell's 2025 entry covers only 15.0 innings and 78 batters faced -- too small a sample to carry split rates reliably. In 2026 he has struck out 38 batters and walked 20 in 46.2 innings (K% 19.3%, BB% 10.2%, K/BB 1.00 across 7 starts).

KEY MATCHUPS

Tidwell vs. Cardinals LHB. Blade Tidwell's 2026 OPS allowed against left-handed batters stands at .898 across 111 batters faced -- .414 OBP and .484 SLG -- and the Cardinals send three left-handed starters directly into that exposure: Alec Burleson (3rd), Nolan Gorman (7th), and Nathan Church (9th). Burleson is the sharpest of the three against right-handed pitching this season, posting a .936 OPS over 438 plate appearances vs. RHP, 6th of 223 NL batters with at least 60 plate appearances vs. right-handed pitching. Church is stronger against right-handed pitching this season as well: .688 OPS vs. RHP compared with .606 vs. LHP across cleared samples on both sides.

Tidwell vs. Cardinals RHB. Against right-handed batters, Tidwell holds a .221 OBP and .250 SLG -- .471 OPS -- over 86 batters faced in 2026. Five Cardinals right-handed bats sit on that side: Thomas Saggese, Ivan Herrera, Jordan Walker, Joshua Baez, and Masyn Winn. Walker is stronger against left-handed pitching this season (.908 OPS vs. LHP, 15th of 154 NL batters with at least 60 plate appearances vs. left-handed pitching, compared with .794 vs. RHP), so he faces Tidwell from his weaker split. Winn is stronger against left-handed pitching this season as well (.739 OPS vs. LHP compared with .597 vs. RHP over 375 plate appearances), placing him on Tidwell's stronger side tonight.

Pallante vs. Giants lineup (platoon + home split). Andre Pallante allows a .696 OPS against left-handed batters this season across 333 batters faced, compared with .623 against right-handed batters (269 BF) -- the Giants' four left-handed starters (Bryce Eldridge, Turner Hill, Scott Bandura, Grant McCray) land on his softer side. Pallante's 2026 home ERA is 4.02 across 340 batters faced at Busch Stadium; his road ERA is 2.76 across 262 batters faced away. Eldridge is the Giants' most capable left-handed bat against right-handed pitching this season: .866 OPS vs. LHP (24th of 154 NL batters with at least 60 plate appearances vs. left-handed pitching) and .791 vs. RHP, so he faces Pallante from his weaker platoon side. Hill carries a cleared 2026 sample vs. RHP only (.642 OPS, 164th of 223 NL batters with at least 60 plate appearances vs. right-handed pitching).

Tidwell first-pass vs. Cardinals. Blade Tidwell's first pass through the order is his weakest phase this season: .823 OPS allowed across 63 batters faced in the first time through, dropping to .677 on the second pass. Tidwell has pitched into a third pass in 7 of 7 starts. The Cardinals' earliest plate appearances -- before Tidwell settles in -- represent their most accessible window against him tonight.

WATCHLIST

-- Alec Burleson vs. Tidwell LHB split. Burleson bats third and is the left-handed bat most likely to see Tidwell multiple times. If he reaches in the first pass, watch whether he gets a second look -- Tidwell's second pass through the order is his sharpest zone this season. He has reached a third pass in every one of his 2026 starts, but his third-pass sample of 24 batters faced is too small to carry a reliable rate.

-- Blade Tidwell first-pass left-handed at-bats. If Alec Burleson, Nolan Gorman, and Nathan Church do damage in the first pass, watch whether manager Tony Vitello pulls Tidwell early -- his platoon vulnerability against left-handed batters compounds as the order repeats.

-- Masyn Winn and the Cardinals RHB vs. Tidwell. If the Cardinals' right-handed bats -- facing Tidwell's .175 AVG-against side -- cannot produce baserunners, the left-handed bats bear the full offensive burden. Watch Masyn Winn batting eighth: his ability to reach base turns the lineup back to the top, cycling Burleson, Gorman, and Church into Tidwell's exposed zone a second time.

-- Giants LHB vs. Pallante at home. Andre Pallante's ERA at Busch Stadium runs more than a run above his road mark this season. If any of the four Giants left-handed bats reach base early, watch Pallante's pitch count -- a short outing at Busch Stadium is the scenario where his home/road gap most matters tonight.

QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES

1. How has Jordan Walker performed against Blade Tidwell in their career?

2. How has Masyn Winn performed against Blade Tidwell in their career?

3. How has Bryce Eldridge performed against Andre Pallante in their career?

4. What are Andre Pallante's third-time-through-the-order splits in 2025?

5. What are Jordan Walker's splits against left-handed and right-handed pitchers in 2025?

6. What is Kyle Leahy's inherited-runner strand rate in 2025?

7. What is the park factor at Busch Stadium in 2025?

700 CLARK -- POWERED BY BASES.CHAT | HISTORICAL DATA THROUGH 2025

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