NL CENTRAL STANDINGS

Team	W-L	GB	Strk
Brewers	53-31	-	W3
Cubs	49-38	5.5	W5
Cardinals	44-39	8.5	L1
Pirates	43-44	11.5	L2
Reds	39-46	14.5	L4

NL EAST STANDINGS

Team	W-L	GB	Strk
Braves	50-34	-	W1
Phillies	49-38	2.5	W2
Marlins	46-41	5.5	L1
Nationals	45-43	7.0	W2
Mets	36-51	15.5	L1

RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)

Date	Opp	H/A	Result
Jul 1	ATL	Away	L 1-5
Jun 30	ATL	Away	W 5-3
Jun 28	MIA	Home	W 2-1
Jun 27	MIA	Home	L 1-5
Jun 26	MIA	Home	L 0-4
Jun 24	ARI	Home	L 4-9
Jun 23	ARI	Home	L 3-4
Jun 22	ARI	Home	W 3-2
Jun 21	KC	Away	W 12-10
Jun 19	KC	Away	L 5-6

STARTING PITCHERS

Dustin May (R) -- 2026 to date: 5-6, 4.30 ERA

83.2 IP across 15 starts, 77 K, 22 BB, 1.20 WHIP, 22.5% K rate, 6.4% BB rate, 48.4% GB rate. Career vs LHB has been the stress test (.852 OPS in 334 PA, 15 HR allowed); career vs RHB is a much sturdier .711 OPS. His road ERA runs 6.28 vs 3.24 at home in career work -- tonight is a road start against a lineup that projects six left-handed bats.

Hurston Waldrep (R) -- 2026 to date: 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Only 2.0 IP of 2026 major-league work (3 K, 4 BB, 2 H, 0 HR, 66.7% GB rate on a tiny batted-ball pool). Career carries 56.1 IP, 24.0% K rate, 9.6% BB rate, 2.5 K/BB ratio, 50.0% GB rate. His career vs RHB is stingy (.189 / .275 / .244 in 102 PA); vs LHB is a much more ordinary .685 OPS in 127 PA. The third pass through the order is where his numbers fall off a cliff -- .167 AVG allowed, .461 OPS in 48 PA of TTO3.

EXPECTED LINEUPS

Cardinals (Projected from 2026-07-01)

#	Player	Pos	Bats	2026 RISP AVG	2026 RISP OPS
1	Wetherholt	2B	L	.304	.860
2	Herrera	DH	R	.200	.695
3	Burleson	1B	L	.333	.888
4	Walker	RF	R	.305	.959
5	Nootbaar	LF	L	.087	.502
6	Winn	SS	R	.209	.592
7	Crooks	C	L	.333	1.052
8	Gorman	3B	L	--	--
9	Church	CF	L	.278	.707

Handedness: 3 RHB (Herrera, Walker, Winn), 6 LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Nootbaar, Crooks, Gorman, Church).

Braves (Projected from 2026-07-01)

#	Player	Pos	Bats	2026 RISP AVG	2026 RISP OPS
None	Riley	3B	R	.230	.711
None	Smith	DH	L	.319	.871
None	Baldwin	C	L	.302	.793
None	White	RF	R	.250	.706
None	Kim	SS	R	.200	.568
None	Bart	C	R	.158	.348
None	Mateo	SS	R	.231	.517
None	Olson	1B	L	.208	.701
None	Dubón	SS	R	.338	.972
None	Harris	CF	L	.288	.743
None	Yastrzemski	LF	L	.255	.678
None	Albies	2B	S	.354	.919
None	Tellez	1B	L	.200	.533

Handedness: 6 RHB (Riley, White, Kim, Bart, Mateo, Dubón), 6 LHB (Smith, Baldwin, Olson, Harris, Yastrzemski, Tellez), 1 SHB (Albies).

INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES

No injury or roster-move data is available for today.

2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER

No data available for this section.

No career BvP sample for any Cardinals batter vs Waldrep. He is a rookie -- STL is facing him for the first time. Profile the matchup off the platoon and TTO splits below, not history.

Bench note: No bench BvP history vs Waldrep in the career sample (Fermín, Jordan, Velázquez, Pagés -- no rows).

2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER

Player	PA	AB	H	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	BB	K
Mike Yastrzemski	16	14	7	.500	.563	.643	0	2	1
Ha-Seong Kim	11	11	2	.182	.182	.273	0	0	3
Ozzie Albies	9	8	0	.000	.111	.000	0	1	4
Matt Olson	10	8	0	.000	.200	.000	0	2	5
Austin Riley	7	7	2	.286	.286	1.143	2	0	3
Michael Harris	5	5	1	.200	.200	.200	0	0	1
Joey Bart	4	4	1	.250	.250	.500	0	0	2
Dominic Smith	5	3	1	.333	.600	1.333	1	2	0
Drake Baldwin	4	3	0	.000	.250	.000	0	1	0
Mauricio Dubón	3	3	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	1
Eli White	3	3	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	3
Jorge Mateo	1	1	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0

Small sample: Ozzie Albies (9 PA), Austin Riley (7 PA), Michael Harris (5 PA), Joey Bart (4 PA), Dominic Smith (5 PA), Drake Baldwin (4 PA), Mauricio Dubón (3 PA), Eli White (3 PA), Jorge Mateo (1 PA).

Yastrzemski is the standout: 16 PA is the only meaningful sample and it is spectacular (.500 / .563 / .643 with 2 BB and 1 K). Kim (11 PA, .182) is the next-largest sample and it is quiet. Riley (2 HR in 7 PA) and Smith (1 HR in 5 PA) are small-sample power spikes worth flagging but not weighting heavily. Olson is 0-for-8 with 5 K in 10 PA -- the profile bet in the Threat section (his 2025 vs RHP line is .494 SLG) still tilts him toward danger, but the direct history is not scary.

Bench note: Bart (4 PA), Dubón (3 PA), White (3 PA), Mateo (1 PA) -- all sub-5 PA and skew low. Baldwin (4 PA) has drawn one walk in three at-bats.

2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS

Player	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	BB	K
Alec Burleson L	419	.296	.353	.478	15	32	59
Lars Nootbaar L	403	.249	.340	.394	10	47	72
Masyn Winn R	374	.251	.309	.368	7	23	71
Iván Herrera R	328	.268	.343	.399	10	24	66
Jordan Walker R	289	.200	.263	.291	4	21	94
Nathan Church L	51	.114	.216	.182	1	3	14
Jimmy Crooks L	38	.108	.132	.162	0	0	15

Waldrep is right-handed, so this table is the primary matchup lens. Burleson leads the group with .296 / .353 / .478 in 419 PA -- the most reliable left-handed contact profile in the lineup. Herrera (.268 / .343 / .399, 328 PA vs RHP) is the strongest right-handed weapon and hits second. Walker's 2025 vs RHP line (.200 / .263 / .291, 94 K in 289 PA) is a real concern in the cleanup slot. Church (51 PA) and Crooks (38 PA) are the small-sample bottom half and both are struggling badly against RHP.

2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT

Player	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	BB	K
Matt Olson L	509	.268	.379	.494	23	75	117
Ozzie Albies B	481	.225	.310	.345	12	49	76
Michael Harris L	458	.252	.270	.420	17	11	89
Mike Yastrzemski L	454	.256	.362	.446	15	65	86
Drake Baldwin L	351	.267	.336	.472	15	31	53
Austin Riley R	346	.259	.312	.431	12	22	106
Rowdy Tellez L	288	.242	.281	.472	17	14	73
Mauricio Dubón R	283	.221	.267	.335	6	17	31
Joey Bart R	246	.230	.333	.296	1	26	67
Dominic Smith L	198	.296	.343	.436	5	14	38
Eli White R	175	.229	.259	.386	5	5	46
Ha-Seong Kim R	131	.209	.290	.330	4	12	30
Jorge Mateo R	44	.150	.227	.250	1	4	17

May is right-handed, so this table is the primary matchup lens. The Braves project six left-handed bats plus switch-hitter Albies, and the LHB pool is deep on power: Olson (.494 SLG, 23 HR in 509 PA), Baldwin (.472 SLG, 15 HR in 351 PA), Tellez (.472 SLG, 17 HR in 288 PA), Yastrzemski (.446 SLG, 15 HR in 454 PA), and Harris (.420 SLG, 17 HR in 458 PA). Olson's on-base skill (12.6% BB rate in 2025) plus May's LHB weakness stacks up as the highest-leverage matchup. Smith's smaller 198 PA sample (.296 / .343 / .436) also grades out as danger-adjacent.

2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS

Pitcher	vs	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	K
Dustin May	vs LHB	334	.261	.357	.495	.852	15	82
Dustin May	vs RHB	250	.256	.325	.386	.711	6	41
Hurston Waldrep	vs LHB	127	.248	.331	.354	.685	2	32
Hurston Waldrep	vs RHB	102	.189	.275	.244	.519	1	23

Both starters carry a platoon split, and both splits break AGAINST tonight's expected lineup composition. May's LHB career line (.495 SLG, .852 OPS, 15 HR in 334 PA) is a stark problem against Atlanta's six left-handed bats. Waldrep's mirror-image edge is his RHB dominance (.244 SLG, .519 OPS in 102 PA) -- but the Cardinals only project three right-handed hitters (Herrera, Walker, Winn), so Waldrep's better platoon side is not the one he sees most. His LHB career line (.685 OPS in 127 PA) is closer to average and gives STL's six-lefty pool at least an even matchup.

2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS

Pitcher	Split	BF	IP	ERA	K	BB	HR
Dustin May	Away	258	57.1	6.28	50	26	12
Dustin May	Home	326	75.0	3.24	73	30	9
Hurston Waldrep	Away	113	27.2	1.95	28	9	1
Hurston Waldrep	Home	116	28.2	3.14	27	13	2

Tonight's game is at Truist Park -- May pitching away, Waldrep pitching home. May's career away context is his weaker one: 6.28 ERA in 258 BF, 12 HR allowed -- vs 3.24 at home. That's a substantial home/road gap and a caution for tonight. Waldrep's home career line (3.14 ERA in 116 BF) is actually his worse split; his 1.95 ERA away in 113 BF is his stronger context. Both splits push the same direction: the Braves have the pitching context edge.

2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)

Pitcher	TTO	PA	AVG	SLG	OPS	HR	K	BB
Dustin May	TTO1	227	.226	.347	.652	5	56	23
Dustin May	TTO2	220	.290	.508	.878	9	44	17
Dustin May	TTO3	137	.263	.517	.882	7	23	16
Hurston Waldrep	TTO1	91	.188	.275	.550	2	21	10
Hurston Waldrep	TTO2	90	.284	.395	.751	1	23	7
Hurston Waldrep	TTO3	48	.167	.190	.461	0	11	5

May's second pass through the order is where the run window opens. Career TTO2 line: .290 / .508 / .878 OPS with 9 HR in 220 PA -- a sharp cliff from TTO1 (.347 SLG, .652 OPS). TTO3 stays elevated at .882 OPS. Realistic damage window: innings 4-6.

Waldrep is the opposite shape. First pass through the order is his strength (.188 AVG, .550 OPS in 91 PA), and the third pass is where he collapses (.167 AVG, .461 OPS in 48 PA). Cardinals want to push him past 18 batters -- the third pass is where their run window opens.

2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE

Reliever	IR	Scored	Strand%
Kyle Leahy	29	11	62.1%
JoJo Romero	26	3	88.5%
Matt Svanson	26	13	50.0%
Gordon Graceffo	11	5	54.5%
Riley O'Brien	10	3	70.0%
Ryan Fernandez	8	4	50.0%
Michael McGreevy	3	0	100.0%

League average strand rate: ~68-72%. Romero's 88.5% is elite -- the arm you want walking in with runners on. Svanson (50.0%), Graceffo (54.5%), and Fernandez (50.0%) are all danger zones and any of the three could be the fork after May exits. Leahy is right in the middle at 62.1% -- the volume leader (29 IR) but a below-average strander. Yesterday's 8th-inning collapse (Bruihl 2 R in 0.1 IP, Graceffo 1 R in 0.2 IP) is still a live memory.

2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP

Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (2025)

Pitcher	BIP	GB%	FB%	LD%
Dustin May	372	44.1%	28.2%	26.6%
Hurston Waldrep	146	50.0%	22.6%	26.7%

Hitter Batted Ball Results (2025) -- ATL

Hitter	GB AVG	LD AVG	FB AVG
Ozzie Albies	.236	.598	.076
Drake Baldwin	.201	.641	.118
Joey Bart	.280	.745	.098
Mauricio Dubón	.222	.597	.099
Michael Harris	.230	.593	.101
Ha-Seong Kim	.265	.647	.000
Jorge Mateo	.261	.500	.176
Matt Olson	.261	.682	.154
Austin Riley	.310	.684	.094
Dominic Smith	.343	.571	.111
Rowdy Tellez	.235	.558	.092
Eli White	.286	.455	.089
Mike Yastrzemski	.202	.589	.092

May's career 44.1% GB rate is roughly league-average; his fly-ball rate (28.2%) is where the 21 career HR live. Waldrep's career GB rate (50.0%) is meaningfully higher and pairs with a low 22.6% FB rate -- ground contact is his signature.

Cross-referencing the Braves batters: Riley posts a career .310 GB AVG, the highest ground-ball production in the pool, and would benefit if May keeps the ball down poorly. Smith's career .343 GB AVG is even higher on a smaller sample. Olson and Baldwin punish the line-drive box (.682 and .641 LD AVG) -- the swings that keep May's LHB SLG north of .490.

2H: BATTERY PAIRING

Catcher	G	IP	ERA	AVG	OBP	SLG
Will Smith	11	56.0	4.98	.255	--	--
Dalton Rushing	6	34.2	3.89	.227	--	--
Carlos Narváez	4	21.0	4.71	.299	--	--
Austin Barnes	2	12.1	4.38	.250	--	--
Connor Wong	2	5.1	6.75	.348	--	--

The catchers above reflect May's Dodgers tenure -- his strongest pairings there were Rushing (3.89 ERA in 34.2 IP) and Smith (4.98 ERA in 56.0 IP). None of these catchers are on the Cardinals active roster. Tonight's Cardinals catcher is Jimmy Crooks, who does not appear in this battery sample -- a fresh pairing. That's a signal in itself: unfamiliar pop-time calibration and signal sequencing in the first pass through the order, and a real factor if Atlanta's runners (Harris 20 SB, Albies 14 SB, Mateo 15 SB) test the battery early.

2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP

Michael Harris -- 20 SB, 6 CS, 76.9% success rate. The Braves' primary running threat.

Jorge Mateo -- 15 SB, 2 CS, 88.2% success. Efficient runner off the bench.

Ozzie Albies -- 14 SB, 3 CS, 82.4% success. Second-highest SB total in the lineup.

Eli White -- 10 SB, 1 CS, 90.9% success. Highest success rate among the double-digit stealers.

Mike Yastrzemski -- 7 SB, 2 CS, 77.8% success.

Ha-Seong Kim -- 6 SB, 2 CS, 75.0% success.

Mauricio Dubón -- 3 SB, 0 CS, 100.0% success.

Dominic Smith -- 2 SB, 0 CS, 100.0% success.

Austin Riley -- 2 SB, 1 CS, 66.7% success.

Rowdy Tellez -- 1 SB, 0 CS, 100.0% success.

Matt Olson -- 1 SB, 0 CS, 100.0% success.

Joey Bart -- 1 SB, 1 CS, 50.0% success.

Atlanta has three double-digit base stealers (Harris, Mateo, Albies) plus White at 10. Against a fresh Crooks-May battery, the running game is a live variable in the first pass through the order.

2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT

Player	POS	G	DP	E	Fld%
Masyn Winn	SS	129	64	3	0.994
Jordan Walker	RF	108	2	4	0.981
Lars Nootbaar	LF	107	0	0	1.000
Alec Burleson	1B	50	27	4	0.990
Alec Burleson	LF	41	0	0	1.000
Alec Burleson	RF	34	1	1	0.983
Lars Nootbaar	RF	23	0	0	1.000
Nathan Church	CF	18	0	0	1.000
Jimmy Crooks	C	14	0	0	1.000
Iván Herrera	C	14	0	1	0.989
Lars Nootbaar	CF	12	0	1	0.967
Nathan Church	RF	7	0	1	0.833
Nathan Church	LF	5	0	0	1.000
Iván Herrera	LF	4	0	0	1.000
Alec Burleson	P	1	0	0	--

Winn anchors the infield at SS (.994 Fld%, 64 DP in 129 G) -- Waldrep's 50.0% GB rate points a lot of chances his way tonight. Burleson at 1B (.990 in 50 G) is the finisher on those grounders. Walker in RF (.981 Fld% in 108 G, 4 E) is the outfield question mark; Yastrzemski's fly-ball tendency (40.9% career FB rate) is heading to his side of the field. Church in CF is a smaller-sample look (18 G) and Nootbaar shifts to LF -- both handled multiple corners this season, but tonight's alignment is the top-of-lineup version.

2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-head (career vs ATL, last four seasons): 2025 -- 2-4. 2024 -- 4-2. 2023 -- 2-4. 2022 -- 3-4. The Cardinals have run near .500 or below vs Atlanta every year in the available sample.

This series: STL won Game 1 (5-3, June 30). ATL won Game 2 (5-1, July 1). Series tied 1-1 with tonight the rubber match at Truist Park.

Ballpark: Truist Park plays as a hitter-friendly venue historically, with a reputation for surrendering fly-ball damage. The available head-to-head sample does not carry a numeric park factor; treat the venue as fly-ball-tolerant context for both starters -- more concerning for May, who has a stark road ERA of 6.28 and 12 career HR allowed away from home.

2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE

Cardinals

Player	PA	K	K%	BB	BB%
Lars Nootbaar	583	119	20.4%	64	11.0%
Alec Burleson	544	79	14.5%	39	7.2%
Masyn Winn	537	102	19.0%	34	6.3%
Iván Herrera	450	84	18.7%	43	9.6%
Jordan Walker	396	126	31.8%	29	7.3%
Nathan Church	65	18	27.7%	3	4.6%
Jimmy Crooks	46	17	37.0%	0	0.0%

STL's contact risk is concentrated at the bottom of the order. Walker (2025 K% 31.8%), Church (27.7%), and Crooks (37.0%) all sit well above the league average 22.1% K rate. Nootbaar leads the lineup in 2025 BB% at 11.0% -- the primary discipline weapon vs a Waldrep career 9.6% BB rate.

Braves

Player	PA	K	K%	BB	BB%
Matt Olson	724	176	24.3%	91	12.6%
Ozzie Albies	667	94	14.1%	55	8.2%
Michael Harris	641	128	20.0%	16	2.5%
Mike Yastrzemski	558	108	19.4%	72	12.9%
Austin Riley	447	128	28.6%	27	6.0%
Drake Baldwin	446	68	15.2%	38	8.5%
Mauricio Dubón	398	42	10.6%	24	6.0%
Joey Bart	332	93	28.0%	40	12.0%
Rowdy Tellez	312	83	26.6%	17	5.4%
Eli White	271	70	25.8%	11	4.1%
Dominic Smith	225	42	18.7%	15	6.7%
Ha-Seong Kim	191	39	20.4%	16	8.4%
Jorge Mateo	83	30	36.1%	4	4.8%

Atlanta's on-base pool is strongest at the top: Olson (2025 BB% 12.6%), Yastrzemski (12.9%), and Bart (12.0%) all sit above the league 9.0% average. Contact risk is bunched at Riley (28.6%), Bart (28.0%), Tellez (26.6%), White (25.8%), and Mateo (36.1%). Against May's 2025 K% of 21.1%, the run-scoring math depends more on Olson, Yastrzemski, Albies, and Harris getting on than on the whiff bats making late-inning contact.

2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE

Cardinals

Player	BIP	GB%	FB%	LD%
Alec Burleson	398	42.0%	33.4%	24.6%
Masyn Winn	376	39.6%	34.0%	26.3%
Lars Nootbaar	376	39.1%	35.4%	25.5%
Iván Herrera	285	52.6%	21.8%	25.6%
Jordan Walker	231	48.9%	29.4%	21.6%
Nathan Church	37	67.6%	21.6%	10.8%
Jimmy Crooks	27	37.0%	44.4%	18.5%

Waldrep's career 50.0% GB rate meets a STL group split down the middle. Herrera (52.6% GB rate) and Walker (48.9%) and Church (67.6%) all skew ground-ball -- exactly Waldrep's preferred contact type. Nootbaar (35.4% FB rate) and Winn (34.0%) are the fly-ball outliers who could lift a mistake pitch.

Braves

Player	BIP	GB%	FB%	LD%
Ozzie Albies	493	38.7%	37.5%	23.7%
Michael Harris	460	52.8%	23.7%	23.5%
Matt Olson	420	42.9%	31.0%	26.2%
Mike Yastrzemski	345	33.0%	40.9%	26.1%
Drake Baldwin	318	51.6%	23.9%	24.5%
Mauricio Dubón	313	43.1%	35.5%	21.4%
Austin Riley	272	36.8%	35.3%	27.9%
Rowdy Tellez	189	42.9%	34.4%	22.8%
Joey Bart	188	53.2%	21.8%	25.0%
Eli White	173	48.6%	26.0%	25.4%
Dominic Smith	157	44.6%	28.7%	26.8%
Ha-Seong Kim	126	38.9%	34.1%	27.0%
Jorge Mateo	48	47.9%	35.4%	16.7%

May's career 44.1% GB rate meets an Atlanta pool with two fly-ball outliers to fear: Yastrzemski (40.9% FB rate) and Albies (37.5%). Olson's line-drive profile (.682 LD AVG, career) plus his 42.9% GB rate -- and May's fly-ball tolerance for LHB power -- makes Olson the highest-leverage LHB in the lineup. Baldwin (51.6% GB) and Harris (52.8% GB) skew ground-ball and are the two most likely to feed May's better outcomes.

2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE

Pitcher	IP	K	K%	BB	BB%	K/BB
Dustin May	132.1	123	21.1%	56	9.6%	2.20
Hurston Waldrep	56.1	55	24.0%	22	9.6%	2.50

2026 to date: May is running a 22.5% K rate and 6.4% BB rate in 83.2 IP. 2025 baseline: 21.1% K rate, 9.6% BB rate, 2.20 K/BB ratio in 132.1 IP. Waldrep's 2026 to date sample is only 2.0 IP (25.0% K rate, 33.3% BB rate on tiny volume). 2025 baseline: 24.0% K rate, 9.6% BB rate, 2.50 K/BB in 56.1 IP -- the more meaningful profile. Both starters share the same 2025 BB rate; the strikeout edge tilts Waldrep, but May's 2026-to-date walk rate is significantly improved.

KEY MATCHUPS & WATCHLIST

Mike Yastrzemski vs May. The DANGER BAT of the night. Career vs May: 16 PA, 14 AB, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K -- .500 / .563 / .643. His 2025 vs RHP is .256 / .362 / .446 in 454 PA with a 12.9% BB rate. Yastrzemski reaches base 2+ times.

Cardinals RHB vs Waldrep. Waldrep's career vs RHB is punishing: .189 / .275 / .244 / .519 OPS in 102 PA. STL projects only three RHB: Herrera, Walker, Winn. Herrera's 2025 vs RHP is .268 / .343 / .399 in 328 PA -- the top right-handed weapon. Walker's 2025 vs RHP line (.200 / .263 / .291 in 289 PA) is a real concern behind him.

Riley vs May, small-sample noise. Riley's career vs May: 7 PA, 2 H, 2 HR, 3 K, 1.143 SLG. Explosive in tiny volume. 2025 vs RHP: .259 / .312 / .431 with a 28.6% K rate in 447 PA (346 vs RHP). Riley strikes out 1+ times.

X-factor -- fresh Crooks-May battery. Tonight's Cardinals catcher is Jimmy Crooks. The battery data reflects May's Dodgers tenure (Rushing, Smith top pairings) -- Crooks is not in that sample. Fresh signal sequencing, and Atlanta's three double-digit stealers (Harris 20, Mateo 15, Albies 14) are a live threat in the early innings.

Bullpen fork after May. Romero (88.5% strand rate) is the elite arm; Svanson (50.0%), Graceffo (54.5%), and Fernandez (50.0%) are all danger zones. Yesterday's 8th-inning collapse (3 R off Bruihl and Graceffo) is the recency signal.

QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES

1. How has Mike Yastrzemski performed against Dustin May in their career?

2. How has Austin Riley fared against Dustin May in their career?

3. How has Iván Herrera performed against Hurston Waldrep in their career?

4. What are Dustin May's third-time-through-the-order splits in 2025?

5. What are Matt Olson's splits vs RHP in 2025?

6. How often does JoJo Romero strand inherited runners in 2025?

7. What is the home run park factor at Truist Park in 2025?