NL CENTRAL STANDINGS

Team	W-L	GB	Strk
Brewers	49-29	-	W4
Cardinals	42-36	7.0	L2
Cubs	43-37	7.0	W3
Pirates	40-40	10.0	W1
Reds	37-42	12.5	L3

NL WEST STANDINGS

Team	W-L	GB	Strk
Dodgers	52-29	-	W3
Padres	42-37	9.0	W3
D-backs	41-39	10.5	W2
Giants	33-46	18.0	W2
Rockies	32-49	20.0	W1

RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)

Date	Opp	H/A	Result
Jun 24	ARI	Home	L 4-9
Jun 23	ARI	Home	L 3-4
Jun 22	ARI	Home	W 3-2
Jun 21	KC	Away	W 12-10
Jun 19	KC	Away	L 5-6
Jun 18	KC	Away	L 6-14
Jun 17	SD	Home	L 1-6
Jun 16	SD	Home	W 3-2
Jun 15	SD	Home	W 3-0
Jun 14	MIN	Away	L 4-5

STARTING PITCHERS

Michael McGreevy (R) -- St. Louis

2026 to date: 3-6, 3.35 ERA, 1.15 WHIP across 15 GS / 83.1 IP. 53 K, 20 BB (15.9% K, 6.0% BB). 53.3% GB profile; 12 HR allowed in 76 H. The Busch-vs-road split is the headline -- 5.22 home ERA, 3.55 road ERA -- and the .911 OPS allowed to LHB is the part of his profile that drives the home gap.

Zac Gallen (R) -- Arizona

2026 to date: 3-6, 6.10 ERA, 1.63 WHIP across 16 GS / 79.2 IP. 52 K, 25 BB (14.3% K, 6.9% BB). 105 H and 13 HR allowed signal contact-heavy starts. 2025 baseline K%/BB% was 21.5/8.1 -- his 2026 strikeout profile has fallen meaningfully. Career road ERA (5.01) is the relevant venue context tonight.

EXPECTED LINEUPS

Cardinals (Projected from 2026-06-24)

#	Player	Pos	Bats	2026 RISP AVG	2026 RISP OPS
1	Wetherholt	2B	L	.309	.875
2	Herrera	DH	R	.206	.715
3	Burleson	1B	L	.341	.901
4	Walker	RF	R	.304	.969
5	Nootbaar	LF	L	.100	.540
6	Winn	SS	R	.200	.580
7	Crooks	C	L	.333	1.052
8	Gorman	3B	L	--	--
9	Church	CF	L	.265	.603

Handedness: 3 RHB (Herrera, Walker, Winn), 6 LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Nootbaar, Crooks, Gorman, Church).

Diamondbacks (From active roster)

13 players listed from active roster pool. Actual game lineup will be 9 from this group.

Player	Pos	Bats
Castillo	DH	L
Carroll	RF	L
Moreno	C	R
Perdomo	SS	S
Vargas	1B	S
Barrosa	CF	S
Marte	2B	S
Gurriel	LF	R
Groover	1B	R
Arenado	3B	R
Smith	DH	L
Tawa	LF	R
Troy	LF	R

Handedness: 6 RHB (Moreno, Gurriel, Groover, Arenado, Tawa, Troy), 3 LHB (Castillo, Carroll, Smith), 4 SHB (Perdomo, Vargas, Barrosa, Marte).

INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES

No current injury or roster-move data is available for today's report. The Cardinals' projected 8-hole bat (Gorman) is carried over from the 2026-06-24 lineup card and is not on the active 26-man roster as listed -- expect a replacement (Blaze Jordan is the active-roster 3B option) once the lineup is confirmed.

2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER

Player	PA	AB	H	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	BB	K
Alec Burleson	6	6	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	2
Lars Nootbaar	8	5	2	.400	.625	1.000	1	3	0
Iván Herrera	5	4	1	.250	.400	.250	0	1	2
Masyn Winn	3	2	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	1

Small sample: Alec Burleson (6 PA), Lars Nootbaar (8 PA), Iván Herrera (5 PA), Masyn Winn (3 PA).

Small career BvP samples dominate this matchup. Nootbaar's .400/.625/1.000 line in 8 PA (with a HR and 3 BB) is the only line that catches the eye, and even that is a thin foundation. Burleson is 0-for-6 with 2 K, Herrera 1-for-4 with a BB in 5 PA, Winn 0-for-2. Wetherholt, Walker, Crooks, Gorman, and Church carry no career history vs Gallen -- the read tonight is a profile bet, not a history bet.

Bench note: No bench BvP history vs Gallen in the career sample (Fermin, Jordan, Velazquez, Torres, Pagés -- no rows).

2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER

No data available for this section.

No Arizona batter has a career BvP sample vs McGreevy. McGreevy's career sample is 95.2 IP across 400 BFP, so the empty result is expected, not a data gap. ARI is facing him cold -- read tonight as a profile-on-profile matchup.

2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS

Player	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	BB	K
Alec Burleson L	419	.296	.353	.478	15	32	59
Lars Nootbaar L	403	.249	.340	.394	10	47	72
Masyn Winn R	374	.251	.309	.368	7	23	71
Iván Herrera R	328	.268	.343	.399	10	24	66
Jordan Walker R	289	.200	.263	.291	4	21	94
Nathan Church L	51	.114	.216	.182	1	3	14
Jimmy Crooks L	38	.108	.132	.162	0	0	15

The 2025 vs-RHP table tracks Gallen's handedness. Burleson (.296/.353/.478) is the lineup's best platoon weapon and Nootbaar (.249/.340/.394) brings patient OBP. Walker (.200/.263/.291 in 289 PA) is the right-handed bat that struggles against RHP -- Gallen's 2025 vs-RHB line (.223/.282/.430) is itself K-heavy, and Walker's profile collides with it. Crooks (.108 in 38 PA) and Church (.114 in 51 PA) are small-sample struggles at the bottom. Wetherholt has no 2025 vs-RHP sample on file -- the read on him is rookie-profile blind.

2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT

Player	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	BB	K
Geraldo Perdomo B	501	.267	.378	.451	14	68	68
Corbin Carroll L	443	.267	.354	.575	24	50	109
Lourdes Gurriel R	390	.229	.272	.413	14	18	64
Ketel Marte B	373	.286	.375	.516	19	43	58
Nolan Arenado R	324	.217	.272	.368	10	20	42
Pavin Smith L	264	.265	.361	.456	8	35	83
Gabriel Moreno R	232	.287	.353	.445	8	21	42
Tim Tawa R	143	.169	.262	.355	6	15	40
Ildemaro Vargas B	69	.277	.294	.385	1	1	9
Jorge Barrosa B	33	.125	.121	.156	0	0	11

Arizona's 2025 vs-RHP table tracks McGreevy's handedness. Perdomo (.267/.378/.451), Carroll (.267/.354/.575), and Marte (.286/.375/.516) drive the lineup OBP; all three are in the projected pool. Carroll's 24 HR vs RHP in 2025 is the standalone power signal. Gurriel (.229) and Arenado (.217) are the soft spots in the right-handed group; Smith (.265/.361/.456 in 264 PA) is the under-the-radar lefty bat. Tawa (.169 in 143 PA) and Barrosa (.125 in 33 PA) are the soft-contact slots.

2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS

Pitcher	vs	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	K
Zac Gallen	vs LHB	400	.256	.326	.422	.748	12	76
Zac Gallen	vs RHB	413	.223	.282	.430	.712	19	99
Michael McGreevy	vs LHB	190	.318	.368	.543	.911	9	27
Michael McGreevy	vs RHB	210	.225	.255	.325	.580	3	31

Gallen's 2025 split runs RHB-tilted on OBP (.282 vs RHB, .326 vs LHB), but LHB still slug .422 against him -- the Cardinals' six left-handed projected starters are the operative number. McGreevy's split is the inverse and bigger: .911 OPS to LHB (.318/.368/.543) vs .580 OPS to RHB. Arizona's projected pool runs 6 RHB, 3 LHB, and 4 switch-hitters -- McGreevy's weaker side is the part of the lineup ARI is shorter on, but Carroll and Smith are the lefty signals.

2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS

Pitcher	Split	BF	IP	ERA	K	BB	HR
Zac Gallen	Away	398	93.1	5.01	81	30	16
Zac Gallen	Home	415	98.2	4.01	94	36	15
Michael McGreevy	Away	188	45.2	3.55	24	9	6
Michael McGreevy	Home	212	50.0	5.22	34	11	6

Tonight's game is at Busch Stadium. McGreevy pitching at home is the volatile context: 5.22 home ERA across 50.0 IP / 212 batters faced vs 3.55 on the road in 45.2 IP -- a substantial venue gap. Gallen carries the mirror split: 5.01 away ERA tonight is the relevant venue number, not the 4.01 home line. Both pitchers are away from their stronger environment.

2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)

Pitcher	TTO	PA	AVG	SLG	OPS	HR	K	BB
Zac Gallen	TTO1	299	.239	.405	.729	11	68	34
Zac Gallen	TTO2	296	.236	.457	.735	14	69	15
Zac Gallen	TTO3	218	.244	.411	.720	6	38	17
Michael McGreevy	TTO1	154	.282	.465	.792	5	22	8
Michael McGreevy	TTO2	152	.271	.417	.715	4	14	6
Michael McGreevy	TTO3	94	.241	.379	.677	3	22	6

Two starters with opposite signatures. McGreevy's first pass through the order is his weakest: 2025 TTO1 line of .282/.327/.465 (.792 OPS) cools to a 2025 TTO3 line of .241/.298/.379 (.677 OPS). He gets BETTER as he turns the order, which makes innings 1-3 the high-leverage window for Arizona. Gallen's three buckets are flatter -- 2025 TTO1 .729 OPS, TTO2 .735 OPS, TTO3 .720 OPS -- no cliff, no obvious bullpen-decision moment.

2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE

Reliever	IR	Scored	Strand%
Kyle Leahy	29	11	62.1%
JoJo Romero	26	3	88.5%
Matt Svanson	26	13	50.0%
Gordon Graceffo	11	5	54.5%
Riley O'Brien	10	3	70.0%
Michael McGreevy	3	0	100.0%

League average IR strand rate runs ~68-72%. Romero (88.5%) is the Cardinals' elite fireman -- the call when a mid-inning mess needs solving. Leahy (62.1%) sits slightly below league. Svanson (50.0%) and Graceffo (54.5%) are the volatility risk: if either enters with runners on, the inning likely opens up. The McGreevy line (3 IR, 100%) is too small to lean on. League average reference: ~68-72%.

2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP

Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (Career)

Pitcher	BIP	GB%	FB%	LD%
Zac Gallen	537	46.2%	30.4%	22.7%
Michael McGreevy	307	49.2%	25.7%	24.4%

Hitter Batted Ball Results (Career) -- ARI

Hitter	GB AVG	LD AVG	FB AVG
Nolan Arenado	.223	.560	.089
Jorge Barrosa	.182	.333	.067
Corbin Carroll	.250	.681	.101
Lourdes Gurriel	.253	.570	.022
Ketel Marte	.206	.702	.124
Gabriel Moreno	.326	.587	.063
Geraldo Perdomo	.209	.684	.103
Pavin Smith	.308	.690	.162
Tim Tawa	.235	.500	.114
Ildemaro Vargas	.241	.786	.125

Both starters lean ground-ball (2025 McGreevy 49.2% GB, Gallen 46.2% GB). The Arizona table makes the line-drive column the threat lane -- Marte (.702 LD AVG), Smith (.690), Perdomo (.684), Carroll (.681), and Vargas (.786) all crush line drives. Moreno's .326 GB AVG is the standout in the ground-ball column. The matchup story is GB neutralization vs LD damage: when Arizona elevates and barrels, they hit; when they pound, the Cardinals defense is in play.

2H: BATTERY PAIRING

Catcher	G	IP	ERA	AVG	OBP	SLG
Pedro Pagés	14	80.2	4.24	.266	--	--
Jimmy Crooks	2	8.2	9.35	.385	--	--
Yohel Pozo	1	5.2	0.00	.056	--	--

Tonight's projected starter at C is Jimmy Crooks (per the Cardinals lineup card). Yohel Pozo is not on the active 26-man roster -- his 5.2 IP entry reflects an earlier-season Cardinals stint and is reference material only. The active battery story splits between Pagés (14 G / 80.2 IP, 4.24 ERA) as the regular partner and Crooks (2 G / 8.2 IP, 9.35 ERA, .385 AVG allowed) as the smaller, less stable sample. The McGreevy-Crooks pairing has not stabilized: a small but live signal-sequencing risk in the first pass through the order tonight.

2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP

Carroll (32 SB, 84.2% success) and Perdomo (27 SB, 81.8%) are the active SB threats; both project to start. Gurriel (10 SB, 71.4%) and Tawa (8 SB, 80.0%) are the secondary risks. Marte (4 SB, 66.7%) and Moreno (2 SB, 50.0%) are not real running threats. With Crooks behind the plate and limited reps in this specific battery, the early-inning SB-attempt probability climbs -- Carroll especially.

2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT

Player	POS	G	DP	E	Fld%
Masyn Winn	SS	129	64	3	0.994
Jordan Walker	RF	108	2	4	0.981
Lars Nootbaar	LF	107	0	0	1.000
Alec Burleson	1B	50	27	4	0.990
Alec Burleson	LF	41	0	0	1.000
Alec Burleson	RF	34	1	1	0.983
Lars Nootbaar	RF	23	0	0	1.000
Nathan Church	CF	18	0	0	1.000
Jimmy Crooks	C	14	0	0	1.000
Iván Herrera	C	14	0	1	0.989
Lars Nootbaar	CF	12	0	1	0.967
Nathan Church	RF	7	0	1	0.833
Nathan Church	LF	5	0	0	1.000
Iván Herrera	LF	4	0	0	1.000
Alec Burleson	P	1	0	0	--

Winn at SS (129 G, .994 FLD%) is the Cardinals' defensive anchor. Walker in RF has a 4-error sample in 108 G (.981) -- adequate, not a strength; in a McGreevy GB-heavy start, the right-field arm is less in play than the middle-infield turn. Nootbaar (LF, 107 G, 1.000) is clean. The Cardinals' projected third baseman (Gorman per the carryover lineup) does not appear in the defense table; the active-roster 3B option (Blaze Jordan) is similarly absent from the 2025 defensive sample -- the 3B read is unsettled until lineups confirm.

2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD

Cardinals and Diamondbacks have split the season series each of the last three years (3-3 in 2025, 2024, and 2023; STL took 5-of-7 in 2022). The 2026 series stands at ARI 2, STL 1 with tonight's Game 4 closing it out at Busch Stadium. The available head-to-head data does not carry a numeric park factor -- treat Busch as a neutral-to-pitcher-leaning venue historically until the head-to-head sample builds further this year.

2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE

Cardinals

Player	PA	K	K%	BB	BB%
Lars Nootbaar	583	119	20.4%	64	11.0%
Alec Burleson	544	79	14.5%	39	7.2%
Masyn Winn	537	102	19.0%	34	6.3%
Iván Herrera	450	84	18.7%	43	9.6%
Jordan Walker	396	126	31.8%	29	7.3%
Nathan Church	65	18	27.7%	3	4.6%
Jimmy Crooks	46	17	37.0%	0	0.0%

Walker's 2025 31.8% K% is the lineup's strikeout signal; Crooks (37.0% in 46 PA) and Church (27.7% in 65 PA) are small-sample whiff risks at the bottom. Burleson's 2025 7.2% BB% / 14.5% K% is the disciplined anchor. Nootbaar's 2025 11.0% BB% is the lineup's best walk rate.

Diamondbacks

Player	PA	K	K%	BB	BB%
Geraldo Perdomo	720	83	11.5%	94	13.1%
Corbin Carroll	642	153	23.8%	67	10.4%
Ketel Marte	556	83	14.9%	64	11.5%
Lourdes Gurriel	546	76	13.9%	31	5.7%
Nolan Arenado	436	49	11.2%	28	6.4%
Gabriel Moreno	309	53	17.2%	29	9.4%
Pavin Smith	287	92	32.1%	41	14.3%
Tim Tawa	225	64	28.4%	20	8.9%
Ildemaro Vargas	121	15	12.4%	2	1.7%
Jorge Barrosa	77	22	28.6%	2	2.6%

Perdomo's 2025 11.5% K% / 13.1% BB% is elite plate discipline at the top -- McGreevy's 2025 5.0% BB% is going to be tested. Arenado (2025 11.2% K%) and Marte (14.9%) are tough to whiff and round out the contact profile. Smith (32.1% K%) and Tawa (28.4%) are the boom-or-bust slots. K/BB ratio for the top of the order favors Arizona heavily -- the swing variable is Carroll, whose 2025 23.8% K% drops his floor but whose .575 SLG vs RHP raises his ceiling.

2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE

Cardinals

Player	BIP	GB%	FB%	LD%
Alec Burleson	398	42.0%	33.4%	24.6%
Masyn Winn	376	39.6%	34.0%	26.3%
Lars Nootbaar	376	39.1%	35.4%	25.5%
Iván Herrera	285	52.6%	21.8%	25.6%
Jordan Walker	231	48.9%	29.4%	21.6%
Nathan Church	37	67.6%	21.6%	10.8%
Jimmy Crooks	27	37.0%	44.4%	18.5%

Church (67.6% 2025 GB%) and Herrera (52.6%) are the ground-ball-leaning bats; Gallen's 46.2% GB profile suggests low BIP elevation against them. Nootbaar/Burleson/Winn all run 39-42% 2025 GB% -- the lift-prone middle of the order where Gallen's 2026 HR pace (13 HR in 79.2 IP) lives. Crooks' 44.4% 2025 FB% is the outlier in a small sample.

Diamondbacks

Player	BIP	GB%	FB%	LD%
Geraldo Perdomo	484	40.5%	32.0%	27.5%
Lourdes Gurriel	405	40.0%	33.6%	26.4%
Corbin Carroll	380	38.9%	36.3%	24.7%
Ketel Marte	370	44.6%	32.7%	22.7%
Nolan Arenado	340	38.2%	39.7%	22.1%
Gabriel Moreno	215	41.4%	29.3%	29.3%
Pavin Smith	144	45.1%	25.7%	29.2%
Tim Tawa	127	53.5%	27.6%	18.9%
Ildemaro Vargas	96	60.4%	25.0%	14.6%
Jorge Barrosa	46	47.8%	32.6%	19.6%

Vargas (60.4% 2025 GB%) and Tawa (53.5%) are extreme ground-ball hitters running into McGreevy's 49.2% GB profile -- a likely double-play lane. Marte (44.6% 2025 GB%, 22.7% LD%) and Smith (29.2% LD%) are the line-drive risk; with McGreevy's .543 SLG allowed to LHB, Smith's swing is the matchup to flag. Moreno's 29.3% 2025 LD% is the highest in the table -- a leverage bat against McGreevy's vs-RHB line is more containable, but the LD profile keeps him live.

2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE

Pitcher	IP	K	K%	BB	BB%	K/BB
Zac Gallen	192.0	175	21.5%	66	8.1%	2.65
Michael McGreevy	95.2	58	14.5%	20	5.0%	2.90

McGreevy's 2025 K/BB ratio (2.90) edges Gallen's (2.65), but the components are different signatures. McGreevy's 2025 14.5% K% and 5.0% BB% mark him as an efficient strike-thrower, not a swing-and-miss arm. Gallen's 2025 21.5% K% is the higher punchout profile but his 2025 8.1% BB% is meaningfully looser. 2026 to date: Gallen 14.3% K, 6.9% BB -- his 2026 strikeout profile has slipped from his 2025 baseline. McGreevy's 2026 to-date 15.9% K% and 6.0% BB% track close to 2025.

KEY MATCHUPS & WATCHLIST

Burleson vs Gallen. Burleson is .296/.353/.478 vs RHP in 2025 -- the lineup's best platoon weapon -- and Gallen's road context (5.01 ERA) is the dragline. Career BvP is 0-for-6 with 2 K but the macro platoon edge trumps the sample.

Carroll vs McGreevy. Carroll is .267/.354/.575 vs RHP with 24 HR in 2025. McGreevy at home: 5.22 ERA, .911 OPS allowed to LHB. No career BvP sample on file -- tonight is a profile bet, and the profile points to a real danger lane.

Nootbaar vs Gallen. 8 PA, 2 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 0 K -- a career line of .400/.625/1.000. The sample is small but the swing matches the profile: patient LHB against a RHP with a road walk problem and a 2025 vs-LHB OPS of .748.

Watchlist. McGreevy-Crooks battery is the unfamiliar pairing (Crooks broader sample 8.2 IP / 9.35 ERA / .385 AVG allowed) -- first-pass signal-sequencing risk. Carroll on the bases (32 SB, 84.2%) and Perdomo (27 SB, 81.8%) are the SB watch. Romero (88.5% IR strand in 2025) is the late-inning leverage arm; Svanson (50.0%) and Graceffo (54.5%) are the volatility tax if the call goes the other way.

QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES

1. How has Alec Burleson performed against Zac Gallen in their career?

2. How has Michael McGreevy fared against Corbin Carroll in their career?

3. How has Lars Nootbaar performed against Zac Gallen in their career?

4. What are Michael McGreevy's third-time-through-the-order splits in 2025?

5. What are Alec Burleson's splits vs RHP in 2025?

6. How often does JoJo Romero strand inherited runners in 2025?

7. What is the home run park factor at Busch Stadium in 2025?