NL CENTRAL STANDINGS
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 37-23 | - | L2 |
| Pirates | 34-29 | 4.5 | W1 |
| Cardinals | 32-28 | 5.0 | W1 |
| Cubs | 33-30 | 5.5 | W1 |
| Reds | 31-30 | 6.5 | L1 |
RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)
| Date | Opp | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3 | TEX | Home | W 5-3 |
| Jun 2 | TEX | Home | L 4-7 |
| Jun 1 | TEX | Home | L 1-2 |
| May 31 | CHC | Home | W 5-1 |
| May 30 | CHC | Home | L 1-6 |
| May 29 | CHC | Home | W 6-5 |
| May 27 | MIL | Away | L 1-2 |
| May 26 | MIL | Away | L 0-6 |
| May 25 | MIL | Away | L 1-5 |
| May 23 | CIN | Away | L 0-0 |
STARTING PITCHERS
Kyle Leahy (RHP) -- Cardinals
2026 to date: 5-3, 4.25 ERA, 55.0 IP, 46 K, 22 BB, 1.56 WHIP across 11 starts -- 64 H and 8 HR allowed. 2026 K% 18.4, BB% 8.8, GB% 55.8. He carries an unusual home/away inverse in the career sample: 2.68 ERA on the road (43.2 IP) versus 4.47 at home (44.1 IP). Tonight he pitches in his weaker context.
Brady Singer (RHP) -- Reds
2026 to date: 2-5, 6.18 ERA, 51.0 IP, 36 K, 16 BB, 1.69 WHIP across 11 starts -- 70 H and 16 HR allowed. The home run rate is the headline number. 2026 K% 15.1, BB% 6.7, GB% 45.1. 2025 baseline numbers were stronger (22.8% K%, 8.4% BB%, 2.72 K/BB) -- the 2025 lines may be closer to true talent than the 2026-to-date slide.
EXPECTED LINEUPS
Cardinals (Projected from 2026-06-03)
| # | Player | Pos | Bats | 2026 RISP AVG | 2026 RISP OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wetherholt | 2B | L | .279 | .795 |
| 2 | Herrera | DH | R | .196 | .687 |
| 3 | Burleson | 1B | L | .357 | .926 |
| 4 | Walker | RF | R | .304 | .982 |
| 5 | Gorman | 3B | L | .193 | .577 |
| 6 | Winn | SS | R | .180 | .502 |
| 7 | Church | CF | L | -- | -- |
| 8 | Saggese | LF | R | .190 | .560 |
| 9 | Pagés | C | R | .121 | .379 |
Handedness: 5 RHB (Herrera, Walker, Winn, Saggese, Pagés), 4 LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Gorman, Church).
Reds (From active roster)
13 players listed from active roster pool. Actual game lineup will be 9 from this group.
| Player | Pos | Bats |
|---|---|---|
| Dunn | RF | R |
| Myers | CF | R |
| Arroyo | SS | S |
| Suárez | DH | R |
| Bleday | LF | L |
| McLain | 2B | R |
| Lowe | DH | L |
| Marte | RF | R |
| Higgins | C | R |
| Stewart | 1B | R |
| Steer | LF | R |
| Stephenson | C | R |
| Benson | RF | L |
Handedness: 9 RHB (Dunn, Myers, Suárez, McLain, Marte, Higgins, Stewart, Steer, Stephenson), 3 LHB (Bleday, Lowe, Benson), 1 SHB (Arroyo).
INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES
No injury or roster-move data is available for today.
2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Saggese | 8 | 8 | 2 | .250 | .250 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan Walker | 7 | 7 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Alec Burleson | 8 | 7 | 3 | .429 | .375 | 1.143 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nolan Gorman | 10 | 7 | 0 | .000 | .200 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Masyn Winn | 6 | 5 | 2 | .400 | .500 | 1.200 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Iván Herrera | 6 | 4 | 1 | .250 | .333 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pedro Pagés | 2 | 2 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Small sample: Thomas Saggese (8 PA), Jordan Walker (7 PA), Alec Burleson (8 PA), Masyn Winn (6 PA), Iván Herrera (6 PA), Pedro Pagés (2 PA).
Cardinals batters have a thin but encouraging history against Singer. Burleson leads at 3-for-7 with a HR (.429 AVG, 1.143 SLG, 8 PA). Winn is 2-for-5 with a HR (1.200 SLG, 6 PA). Sample warnings apply across the board, but the two loud lines are the anchor lefty and the shortstop. On the other side, Walker is 0-for-7 with 4 K and Gorman is 0-for-7 with 2 BB and 4 K -- two right-handed cleanup-band bats Singer has handled in limited looks.
Bench note: No additional bench BvP history vs Singer in the career sample (Church, Wetherholt -- no rows).
2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer | 6 | 6 | 1 | .167 | .167 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 4 | 4 | 1 | .250 | .250 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noelvi Marte | 3 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 3 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Eugenio Suárez | 4 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .500 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Will Benson | 3 | 2 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Matt McLain | 2 | 2 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sal Stewart | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Small sample: Spencer Steer (6 PA), Tyler Stephenson (4 PA), Noelvi Marte (3 PA), Nathaniel Lowe (3 PA), Eugenio Suárez (4 PA), Will Benson (3 PA), Matt McLain (2 PA), Sal Stewart (1 PA).
Eight Reds hitters have any career line against Leahy and none reach 10 PA. Suárez is 1-for-3 with a walk, Marte is 1-for-3, and Lowe is 1-for-3 with a K. Steer (1-for-6, 6 PA) and Benson (0-for-2 with a K) are the only repeat looks. Nobody crosses the .300 AVG / 10 PA danger threshold. This is a profile matchup for both sides, not a history matchup.
Bench note: No significant bench BvP history vs Leahy in the career sample.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson L | 419 | .296 | .353 | .478 | 15 | 32 | 59 |
| Masyn Winn R | 374 | .251 | .309 | .368 | 7 | 23 | 71 |
| Iván Herrera R | 328 | .268 | .343 | .399 | 10 | 24 | 66 |
| Nolan Gorman L | 309 | .201 | .294 | .349 | 9 | 37 | 111 |
| Jordan Walker R | 289 | .200 | .263 | .291 | 4 | 21 | 94 |
| Pedro Pagés R | 276 | .225 | .264 | .364 | 9 | 12 | 72 |
| Thomas Saggese R | 227 | .254 | .305 | .340 | 1 | 15 | 63 |
Burleson is the strongest profile in 2025 vs RHP -- .296 AVG / .353 OBP / .478 SLG across 419 PA with 15 HR. Herrera (.268 / .343 / .399, 328 PA) gives the lineup a second above-average right-handed bat against Singer's hand. Gorman is the volatility line at .201 / .294 / .349 with 111 K in 309 PA -- but 9 HR shows the carry when contact lands. Walker's .200 / .263 / .291 in 289 PA is the soft spot Singer can target in the cleanup spot.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suárez R | 514 | .247 | .311 | .546 | 39 | 30 | 150 |
| Matt McLain R | 450 | .215 | .289 | .338 | 12 | 39 | 131 |
| Spencer Steer R | 445 | .242 | .320 | .404 | 15 | 40 | 98 |
| Nathaniel Lowe L | 444 | .251 | .331 | .425 | 16 | 47 | 109 |
| Tyler Stephenson R | 272 | .224 | .294 | .411 | 11 | 25 | 102 |
| JJ Bleday L | 271 | .180 | .273 | .377 | 11 | 31 | 73 |
| Noelvi Marte R | 256 | .275 | .305 | .516 | 13 | 8 | 57 |
| Will Benson L | 233 | .235 | .279 | .432 | 10 | 14 | 62 |
| Dane Myers R | 216 | .208 | .255 | .277 | 4 | 12 | 56 |
| Sal Stewart R | 56 | .269 | .321 | .519 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| Blake Dunn R | 40 | .147 | .275 | .235 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
Two right-handed power profiles carry this lineup against RHP in 2025. Suárez hits .247 with a .546 SLG and 39 HR in 514 PA. Marte is .275 / .305 / .516 with 13 HR in 256 PA. Lowe (.251 / .331 / .425, 16 HR) is the most productive lefty. Bleday (.180 in 271 PA) and Myers (.208 in 216 PA) are the bottom-of-the-lineup soft spots Leahy can attack. Dunn's 40 PA sample is too thin to lean on.
2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS
| Pitcher | vs | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | vs LHB | 163 | .252 | .337 | .364 | .701 | 3 | 37 |
| Kyle Leahy | vs RHB | 200 | .238 | .270 | .319 | .589 | 2 | 43 |
| Brady Singer | vs LHB | 404 | .250 | .330 | .460 | .790 | 15 | 100 |
| Brady Singer | vs RHB | 312 | .222 | .293 | .333 | .626 | 4 | 63 |
Leahy in 2025 was actually tougher on RHB (.589 OPS, 200 PA) than LHB (.701 OPS, 163 PA) -- the platoon edge runs opposite the typical right-hander. The Reds project to send 9 RHB / 3 LHB / 1 SHB to the plate, which sits in his stronger split. Singer's 2025 platoon gap runs the other way and is meaningful: .790 OPS vs LHB across 404 PA with 15 HR allowed, versus .626 OPS and 4 HR in 312 PA vs RHB. The Cardinals have four LHB sitting in the top half of the order.
2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS
| Pitcher | Split | BF | IP | ERA | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | Away | 173 | 43.2 | 2.68 | 46 | 13 | 2 |
| Kyle Leahy | Home | 190 | 44.1 | 4.47 | 34 | 15 | 3 |
| Brady Singer | Away | 350 | 79.1 | 4.65 | 70 | 29 | 9 |
| Brady Singer | Home | 366 | 90.1 | 3.29 | 93 | 31 | 10 |
Tonight's game is at Busch Stadium -- Leahy pitching at home, Singer on the road. Leahy carries a 4.47 ERA at home (44.1 IP, 22 ER) versus 2.68 on the road (43.2 IP, 13 ER) -- a substantial reverse-split. Singer is the opposite shape: 4.65 ERA away (79.1 IP, 9 HR) versus 3.29 at home (90.1 IP). Both pitchers are working in their weaker context tonight.
2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)
| Pitcher | TTO | PA | AVG | SLG | OPS | HR | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | TTO1 | 355 | .247 | .341 | .645 | 5 | 76 | 28 |
| Kyle Leahy | TTO2 | 8 | .125 | .250 | .375 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Brady Singer | TTO1 | 291 | .249 | .422 | .767 | 8 | 68 | 31 |
| Brady Singer | TTO2 | 277 | .246 | .452 | .756 | 10 | 59 | 19 |
| Brady Singer | TTO3 | 148 | .201 | .284 | .554 | 1 | 36 | 10 |
Leahy's 2025 first pass through the order is the workload bucket -- 355 PA at .247 / .341 SLG / .645 OPS. The second-pass sample is only 8 PA, reflecting that he is primarily a shorter-window arm. The decision tonight is not a TTO2 cliff in the usual sense; it is the bullpen handoff itself. Singer's 2025 line slugs higher through the first two passes (.422 and .452 SLG) and then collapses on the third pass to .201 / .284 / .554 across 148 PA. If Singer gets that deep tonight, the third pass through the order is where the Cardinals lose their leverage.
2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE
| Reliever | IR | Scored | Strand% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 29 | 11 | 62.1% |
| JoJo Romero | 26 | 3 | 88.5% |
| Gordon Graceffo | 11 | 5 | 54.5% |
| Riley O'Brien | 10 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Ryan Fernandez | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| Michael McGreevy | 3 | 0 | 100.0% |
League average strand rate runs ~68-72%. The Cardinals bullpen carries a wide spread. JoJo Romero at 88.5% (23 of 26) is elite. O'Brien at 70.0% (7 of 10) is league-average. On the danger side, Graceffo at 54.5% (6 of 11) and Fernandez at 50.0% (4 of 8) sit below the league mark -- which arm enters a jam tonight materially changes the leverage math.
2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP
Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (Career)
| Pitcher | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 249 | 44.2% | 26.9% | 27.7% |
| Brady Singer | 461 | 40.6% | 32.5% | 26.2% |
Hitter Batted Ball Results (Career) -- CIN
| Hitter | GB AVG | LD AVG | FB AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benson | .164 | .628 | .064 |
| JJ Bleday | .237 | .641 | .084 |
| Blake Dunn | .100 | .625 | .000 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | .234 | .548 | .143 |
| Noelvi Marte | .256 | .704 | .114 |
| Matt McLain | .316 | .662 | .043 |
| Dane Myers | .235 | .702 | .016 |
| Spencer Steer | .257 | .626 | .066 |
| Tyler Stephenson | .194 | .739 | .164 |
| Sal Stewart | .312 | .600 | .000 |
| Eugenio Suárez | .212 | .622 | .079 |
Leahy is 44.2% GB in his career sample (249 BIP). Singer is 40.6% GB on a bigger 461-BIP sample. Neither is a true ground-ball specialist. The line-drive AVG numbers on the Reds side are uniformly high (Marte .704, Stephenson .739, Myers .702, McLain .662) -- a hard-hit line drive almost always lands, so Leahy's job is to keep contact out of that bucket. The fly-ball AVG numbers are uniformly low (Suárez .079, Benson .064, Bleday .084), so elevated contact from this lineup is mostly outs -- unless one leaves the park.
2H: BATTERY PAIRING
| Catcher | G | IP | ERA | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pagés | 43 | 62.0 | 3.05 | .225 | -- | -- |
| Yohel Pozo | 13 | 16.0 | 2.25 | .259 | -- | -- |
| Jimmy Crooks | 4 | 6.1 | 8.53 | .346 | -- | -- |
| Iván Herrera | 4 | 3.0 | 6.00 | .308 | -- | -- |
Tonight's starting catcher is Pedro Pagés. He is the established pairing here -- 43 G with the staff at a 3.05 ERA. Pozo (13 G), Crooks (4 G, 6.1 IP, 8.53 ERA) and Herrera-behind-the-plate (4 G, 3.0 IP, 6.00 ERA) are tiny samples and not the relevant signal for the Leahy start. The catching variable is essentially neutralized tonight.
2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP
The Reds carry two genuine SB threats. Dane Myers is 18-for-23 (78.3%) in career SB attempts. Matt McLain is 18-for-20 (90.0%). Secondary runners: Marte 10-for-13 (76.9%) and Steer 7-for-8 (87.5%). Suárez (4-for-5, 80%), Benson (2-for-4, 50%), Lowe (1-for-1, 100%), Dunn (1-for-2, 50%) and Bleday (1-for-3, 33.3%) round out the group. Myers in particular is a high-success runner the Cardinals catcher needs to track in the early innings -- if he reaches in front of Suárez or Marte, the running game changes the leverage at the plate.
2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT
| Player | POS | G | DP | E | Fld% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn | SS | 129 | 64 | 3 | 0.994 |
| Pedro Pagés | C | 110 | 6 | 5 | 0.994 |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 108 | 2 | 4 | 0.981 |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 54 | 11 | 6 | 0.950 |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0.990 |
| Alec Burleson | LF | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Thomas Saggese | 2B | 35 | 24 | 4 | 0.973 |
| Alec Burleson | RF | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0.983 |
| Thomas Saggese | SS | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0.988 |
| Nolan Gorman | 2B | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0.990 |
| Thomas Saggese | 3B | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0.939 |
| Iván Herrera | C | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.989 |
| Nolan Gorman | 1B | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Iván Herrera | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 1B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 2B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Alec Burleson | P | 1 | 0 | 0 | -- |
Winn anchors the infield from SS -- .994 fielding percentage, 64 DP, 3 E across 129 G. Pagés behind the plate is .994 in 110 G. Walker at RF has 4 E in 108 G (.981) -- the highest-leverage outfield glove on a fly-ball-tilted matchup. Gorman is starting at 3B tonight; his career fielding sample at the hot corner is .950 with 6 E in 54 G -- a position with room for an inning-flipping mistake. Burleson at 1B closes the picture (.990 in 50 G).
2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD
Recent season head-to-head: 7-6 STL in 2025, 6-7 in 2024, 7-6 in 2023, 12-7 in 2022. The four-year aggregate is 32-26 in the Cardinals' favor. Tonight is Game 1 of a three-game set at Busch Stadium. The available 2K data does not carry a numeric park factor; treat Busch as a neutral venue context tonight.
2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 544 | 79 | 14.5% | 39 | 7.2% |
| Masyn Winn | 537 | 102 | 19.0% | 34 | 6.3% |
| Iván Herrera | 450 | 84 | 18.7% | 43 | 9.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 402 | 136 | 33.8% | 47 | 11.7% |
| Jordan Walker | 396 | 126 | 31.8% | 29 | 7.3% |
| Pedro Pagés | 389 | 107 | 27.5% | 19 | 4.9% |
| Thomas Saggese | 295 | 83 | 28.1% | 16 | 5.4% |
The Cardinals' high-K profile is concentrated in two lineup spots. Gorman (2025 33.8% K, 11.7% BB) and Walker (31.8% K, 7.3% BB) sit well above the league mark of 22.0%. Burleson's 14.5% K rate is the cleanest contact bat in the lineup. Pagés (4.9% BB) and Saggese (5.4% BB) are the lowest walk rates in the group, both flagged below the 6.0% threshold.
Reds
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suárez | 657 | 196 | 29.8% | 46 | 7.0% |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 609 | 159 | 26.1% | 62 | 10.2% |
| Matt McLain | 577 | 167 | 28.9% | 55 | 9.5% |
| Spencer Steer | 568 | 129 | 22.7% | 51 | 9.0% |
| Noelvi Marte | 360 | 85 | 23.6% | 16 | 4.4% |
| JJ Bleday | 344 | 91 | 26.5% | 36 | 10.5% |
| Tyler Stephenson | 342 | 116 | 33.9% | 37 | 10.8% |
| Dane Myers | 333 | 77 | 23.1% | 23 | 6.9% |
| Will Benson | 253 | 67 | 26.5% | 16 | 6.3% |
| Blake Dunn | 75 | 25 | 33.3% | 8 | 10.7% |
| Sal Stewart | 58 | 15 | 25.9% | 3 | 5.2% |
The Reds project as a high-strikeout group. Stephenson (2025 33.9% K), Dunn (33.3%), Suárez (29.8%), McLain (28.9%) all carry K rates well above the 25% danger threshold. Bleday (10.5% BB) and Stephenson (10.8% BB) lead the walk rates; Marte (4.4% BB) is the chase-heavy outlier. Leahy's 2025 K% of 22.0 against this profile sets up a swing-and-miss path -- if the lineup adapts, contact opens up; if not, strikeouts pile up.
2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 398 | 42.0% | 33.4% | 24.6% |
| Masyn Winn | 376 | 39.6% | 34.0% | 26.3% |
| Iván Herrera | 285 | 52.6% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Pedro Pagés | 243 | 44.9% | 30.9% | 24.3% |
| Jordan Walker | 231 | 48.9% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 199 | 30.2% | 41.7% | 28.1% |
| Thomas Saggese | 189 | 41.8% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
Gorman's 2025 GB% of 30.2 is the lineup's lowest -- a fly-ball / line-drive profile (41.7% FB) that pairs awkwardly with Singer's HR-prone 2026 line. Herrera (52.6% GB) and Walker (48.9% GB) are the most ground-bound bats. Singer's career GB% is 40.6, so the alignment is roughly balanced -- ground balls will be the dominant outcome class for at least four Cardinals hitters.
Reds
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suárez | 370 | 37.0% | 40.8% | 22.2% |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 369 | 46.3% | 28.5% | 25.2% |
| Spencer Steer | 363 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 25.1% |
| Matt McLain | 327 | 41.6% | 35.8% | 22.6% |
| Noelvi Marte | 241 | 48.5% | 29.0% | 22.4% |
| Dane Myers | 222 | 45.9% | 28.4% | 25.7% |
| JJ Bleday | 202 | 39.6% | 41.1% | 19.3% |
| Tyler Stephenson | 173 | 41.6% | 31.8% | 26.6% |
| Will Benson | 151 | 40.4% | 31.1% | 28.5% |
| Sal Stewart | 38 | 42.1% | 31.6% | 26.3% |
| Blake Dunn | 32 | 62.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% |
Suárez (2025 40.8% FB) and Bleday (41.1% FB) are the Reds' highest fly-ball bats -- the two most likely to lift a Leahy mistake. Dunn's 62.5% GB is the lineup's most extreme (small 32-BIP sample). Marte (48.5% GB) and Lowe (46.3% GB) tilt to the ground. Leahy's 2026-to-date GB% of 55.8 suggests the matchup favors his profile against most of this lineup; Suárez and Bleday are the two-bat group best able to break that pattern.
2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE
| Pitcher | IP | K | K% | BB | BB% | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 169.2 | 163 | 22.8% | 60 | 8.4% | 2.72 |
| Kyle Leahy | 88.0 | 80 | 22.0% | 28 | 7.7% | 2.86 |
Singer's 2025 K/BB ratio is 2.72 across 169.2 IP -- 22.8% K%, 8.4% BB%. Leahy's 2025 K/BB ratio is 2.86 across 88.0 IP -- 22.0% K%, 7.7% BB%. Both starters sit near league average on both rate stats. 2026 to date: Singer's K% has slid to 15.1 and BB% to 6.7 across 51.0 IP; Leahy's 2026 K% is 18.4 and BB% is 8.8 across 55.0 IP. The 2025 baselines are likely closer to true talent for both -- particularly Singer's K rate, which his 2026 ERA does not reflect.
KEY MATCHUPS & WATCHLIST
Burleson vs Singer. 3-for-7 with a HR in their career BvP (.429 AVG, 1.143 SLG, 8 PA). Burleson hits .296 vs RHP in 2025 across 419 PA with 15 HR. He bats third and projects to see Singer 2-3 times tonight -- the most repeatable Cardinals edge on the card.
Suárez vs Leahy. 1-for-3 with a walk in the career BvP sample. Suárez's 2025 vs RHP line is .247 / .311 / .546 with 39 HR in 514 PA -- the single most dangerous bat in this matchup. Leahy's 2025 vs RHB line (.589 OPS, 200 PA) suggests the profile holds; Suárez is the exception swing.
Walker vs Singer. 0-for-7 with 4 K in their career BvP. Walker's 2025 vs RHP line is .200 / .263 / .291 with a 31.8% K rate (396 PA). Singer's 2025 edge vs RHB (.222 AVG, .626 OPS, 312 PA) lines up directly with the Cardinals' cleanup hitter -- this is the at-bat Singer can attack.
X-factor: Romero vs Graceffo bullpen fork. Romero's 88.5% inherited-runner strand rate (23 of 26) and Graceffo's 54.5% (6 of 11) are 34 percentage points apart. With Leahy carrying only 8 PA on his second pass through the order, the bullpen entry point is where the middle innings decide.
QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES
1. How has Alec Burleson performed against Brady Singer in their career?
2. How has Kyle Leahy fared against Eugenio Suárez in their career?
3. How has JoJo Romero performed against Matt McLain in their career?
4. What are Kyle Leahy's third-time-through-the-order splits in 2025?
5. What are Nolan Gorman's splits vs RHP in 2025?
6. How often does Gordon Graceffo strand inherited runners in 2025?
7. What is the home run park factor at Busch Stadium in 2025?
700 CLARK -- POWERED BY BASES.CHAT | HISTORICAL DATA THROUGH 2025