NL CENTRAL STANDINGS
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 21-12 | - | W4 |
| Cardinals | 20-13 | 1.0 | W6 |
| Reds | 20-13 | 1.0 | L2 |
| Brewers | 18-14 | 2.5 | W3 |
| Pirates | 18-16 | 3.5 | W2 |
NL WEST STANDINGS
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | 20-13 | - | L4 |
| Padres | 19-13 | 0.5 | L4 |
| D-backs | 16-16 | 3.5 | L3 |
| Rockies | 14-20 | 6.5 | L3 |
| Giants | 13-20 | 7.0 | L5 |
RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)
| Date | Opp | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2 | LAD | Home | W 3-2 |
| May 1 | LAD | Home | W 7-2 |
| Apr 30 | PIT | Away | W 10-5 |
| Apr 29 | PIT | Away | W 5-4 |
| Apr 28 | PIT | Away | W 11-7 |
| Apr 27 | PIT | Away | W 4-2 |
| Apr 26 | SEA | Home | L 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | SEA | Home | L 9-11 |
| Apr 24 | SEA | Home | L 2-3 |
| Apr 22 | MIA | Away | L 1-4 |
STARTING PITCHERS
Cardinals: Dustin May (R) -- 5.28 ERA in 2026
2026 to date: 3-2, 5.28 ERA, 30.2 IP, 22 K, 7 BB, 1.53 WHIP across 6 starts; 16.9% K%, 5.4% BB%, 47.5% GB rate. 2025 baseline: 21.1% K%, 9.6% BB%, 2.20 K/BB across 132.1 IP and 584 BFP. The 2026 K rate sits well below the 2025 line and the WHIP is elevated (1.53), but this is a "home" start at Busch. Game 3 of 3, STL leads the series 2-0.
Dodgers: Justin Wrobleski (L) -- 1.50 ERA in 2026
2026 to date: 4-0, 1.50 ERA, 30.0 IP, 15 K, 9 BB, 0.97 WHIP across 4 starts; 12.6% K%, 7.6% BB%, 41.9% GB rate. 2025 baseline: 27.1% K%, 6.1% BB%, 4.47 K/BB across 66.2 IP and 280 BFP. The 2026 K rate is down sharply from his 2025 line, but the run prevention has been clean. Sample is short (4 starts).
EXPECTED LINEUPS
Cardinals (Projected from 2026-05-02)
| # | Player | Pos | Bats | 2026 RISP AVG | 2026 RISP OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wetherholt | 2B | L | .240 | .684 |
| 2 | Herrera | DH | R | .250 | .805 |
| 3 | Burleson | 1B | L | .381 | 1.045 |
| 4 | Walker | RF | R | .275 | .900 |
| 5 | Gorman | 3B | L | .237 | .684 |
| 6 | Winn | SS | R | .214 | .574 |
| 7 | Church | LF | L | .235 | .564 |
| 8 | Pagés | C | R | .190 | .550 |
| 9 | Scott | CF | L | .100 | .308 |
Handedness: 4 RHB (Herrera, Walker, Winn, Pagés), 5 LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Gorman, Church, Scott).
Dodgers (From active roster)
12 players listed from active roster pool. Actual game lineup will be 9 from this group.
| Player | Pos | Bats |
|---|---|---|
| Call | LF | R |
| Freeland | 2B | S |
| Pages | CF | R |
| Rushing | C | L |
| Freeman | 1B | L |
| Kim | SS | L |
| Tucker | RF | L |
| Muncy | 3B | L |
| Rojas | SS | R |
| Espinal | 3B | R |
| Hernández | LF | R |
| Smith | C | R |
Handedness: 6 RHB (Call, Pages, Rojas, Espinal, Hernández, Smith), 5 LHB (Rushing, Freeman, Kim, Tucker, Muncy).
INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES
No injury data was sourced from the JSON. Phase 2 did not perform an injury web search this run -- treat the active rosters listed above as the working set. Confirm scratches at first pitch.
2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pagés | 7 | 6 | 4 | .667 | .714 | 1.833 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Masyn Winn | 7 | 6 | 3 | .500 | .571 | 1.000 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Ivan Herrera | 5 | 4 | 0 | .000 | .200 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Victor Scott | 6 | 4 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan Walker | 4 | 4 | 1 | .250 | .250 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nolan Gorman | 2 | 2 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Alec Burleson | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Small sample: Pedro Pagés (7 PA), Masyn Winn (7 PA), Ivan Herrera (5 PA), Victor Scott (6 PA), Jordan Walker (4 PA), Nolan Gorman (2 PA), Alec Burleson (1 PA).
Pages and Winn are the BvP standouts. Pages is 4-for-6 career with 2 HR (.667 / .714 / 1.833) and Winn is 3-for-6 with 1 HR (.500 / .571 / 1.000). Both lines are small samples but the slug is real -- two of the seven career hits Wrobleski has surrendered to this group are home runs to Pages. Wetherholt is in the lineup with no career data on Wrobleski; Church does not appear in the BvP table. The rest of the lineup is .000 or near it -- Scott (0-for-4), Gorman (0-for-2), Herrera (0-for-4 with 2 K).
Bench note: No significant bench BvP history -- Urias, Saggese, Pozo, Fermin all show null career BvP rows against Wrobleski.
2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 5 | 4 | 1 | .250 | .400 | .500 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Miguel Rojas | 4 | 4 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Tucker | 5 | 4 | 2 | .500 | .600 | .500 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Alex Call | 3 | 3 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Small sample: Freddie Freeman (5 PA), Miguel Rojas (4 PA), Kyle Tucker (5 PA), Alex Call (3 PA).
Tucker is the standout: 2-for-4 career vs May (.500 / .600 / .500) with one walk and one strikeout. Freeman is 1-for-4 with a walk (.250 / .400 / .500). Rojas is 0-for-4 with a strikeout, and Call is 0-for-3 (no walks, no strikeouts). The remainder of the LAD active-roster bats -- Pages, Hernandez, Smith, Muncy, Kim, Rushing, Freeland, Espinal -- have no career BvP rows against May. All four samples are small.
Bench note: No bench BvP history surfaced -- LAD's active-roster bats outside the four listed have not faced May in this dataset.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn R | 163 | .255 | .313 | .349 | 2 | 11 | 31 |
| Victor Scott L | 131 | .204 | .290 | .241 | 0 | 11 | 36 |
| Alec Burleson L | 127 | .271 | .310 | .398 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Ivan Herrera R | 124 | .330 | .455 | .660 | 9 | 19 | 18 |
| Pedro Pagés R | 113 | .243 | .292 | .359 | 2 | 7 | 35 |
| Jordan Walker R | 107 | .255 | .318 | .347 | 2 | 8 | 32 |
| Nolan Gorman L | 93 | .220 | .301 | .439 | 5 | 10 | 25 |
| Nathan Church L | 14 | .417 | .417 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Wrobleski is the LHP today and the Cardinals carry 4 RHB and 5 LHB. The 2025 vs LHP table puts Herrera at the top: .330 / .455 / .660 with 9 HR over 124 PA -- the best LHP-line in the lineup. Burleson holds up well as a LHB vs LHP at .271 / .310 / .398 over 127 PA. The exposed bat is Scott, .204 / .290 / .241 over 131 PA -- the lowest AVG and SLG in the table. Walker (.255 / .318 / .347) and Winn (.255 / .313 / .349) are roughly average. Church's 14 PA at .417 is too small to lean on.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages R | 512 | .246 | .290 | .445 | 24 | 23 | 109 |
| Freddie Freeman L | 502 | .288 | .371 | .482 | 17 | 54 | 94 |
| Teoscar Hernandez R | 474 | .245 | .285 | .457 | 23 | 25 | 128 |
| Kyle Tucker L | 423 | .261 | .380 | .453 | 14 | 67 | 62 |
| Will Smith R | 375 | .305 | .403 | .505 | 15 | 49 | 76 |
| Alex Call R | 209 | .247 | .374 | .335 | 1 | 29 | 35 |
| Santiago Espinal R | 202 | .228 | .276 | .245 | 0 | 12 | 27 |
| Miguel Rojas R | 195 | .244 | .292 | .328 | 2 | 11 | 31 |
| Max Muncy R | 176 | .217 | .256 | .404 | 8 | 6 | 54 |
| Hyeseong Kim L | 149 | .264 | .304 | .357 | 2 | 7 | 44 |
| Dalton Rushing L | 115 | .213 | .261 | .370 | 4 | 7 | 44 |
| Alex Freeland B | 81 | .200 | .300 | .343 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
May is the RHP today. The 2025 vs RHP table on the LAD active roster is a top-heavy group: Smith leads at .305 / .403 / .505 over 375 PA, with Tucker .261 / .380 / .453 (423 PA) and Freeman .288 / .371 / .482 (502 PA) close behind. The slug threats are Andy Pages (24 HR over 512 PA, .445 SLG) and Hernandez (23 HR over 474 PA, .457 SLG). The lower-PA bats -- Muncy, Rushing, Freeland -- post lower AVGs (.217, .213, .200) but Muncy still slugs .404 and Rushing .370.
2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS
| Pitcher | vs | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May | vs LHB | 334 | .261 | .357 | .495 | .756 | 15 | 82 |
| Dustin May | vs RHB | 250 | .256 | .325 | .386 | .642 | 6 | 41 |
| Justin Wrobleski | vs RHB | 208 | .276 | .322 | .396 | .672 | 3 | 57 |
| Justin Wrobleski | vs LHB | 92 | .195 | .256 | .317 | .512 | 3 | 25 |
May runs a standard L/R lean: 2025 vs LHB .261 / .357 / .495 (.756 OPS, 15 HR over 334 PA) is meaningfully worse than vs RHB .256 / .325 / .386 (.642 OPS, 6 HR over 250 PA). The LAD active-roster pool carries 5 LHB (Rushing, Freeman, Kim, Tucker, Muncy), so May is set to face the worse side of his split.
Wrobleski runs a reverse split: 2025 vs LHB .195 / .256 / .317 (.512 OPS over 92 PA) is the better side, while vs RHB .276 / .322 / .396 (.672 OPS over 208 PA) gives more up. The Cardinals' 4 RHB -- Herrera, Walker, Winn, Pages -- are the matchup focus.
2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS
| Pitcher | Split | BF | IP | ERA | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May | Away | 258 | 57.1 | 6.28 | 50 | 26 | 12 |
| Dustin May | Home | 326 | 75.0 | 3.24 | 73 | 30 | 9 |
| Justin Wrobleski | Away | 184 | 45.0 | 3.40 | 51 | 14 | 3 |
| Justin Wrobleski | Home | 116 | 26.2 | 4.39 | 31 | 3 | 3 |
Today's game is at Busch Stadium -- functionally "home" for May this season, but his 2025 home/away splits reflect his prior team's environment. 2025 home: 3.24 ERA over 75.0 IP, 326 BFP. 2025 away: 6.28 ERA over 57.1 IP, 258 BFP. The clean home line is the favorable historical anchor; the venue context has shifted.
Wrobleski is the visitor today. 2025 away: 3.40 ERA over 45.0 IP (better split). 2025 home: 4.39 ERA over 26.2 IP. Today's road context aligns with his stronger 2025 split.
2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)
| Pitcher | TTO | PA | AVG | SLG | OPS | HR | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May | TTO1 | 227 | .226 | .347 | .573 | 5 | 56 | 23 |
| Dustin May | TTO2 | 220 | .290 | .508 | .798 | 9 | 44 | 17 |
| Dustin May | TTO3 | 137 | .263 | .517 | .780 | 7 | 23 | 16 |
| Justin Wrobleski | TTO1 | 200 | .254 | .373 | .627 | 4 | 59 | 11 |
| Justin Wrobleski | TTO2 | 73 | .266 | .375 | .641 | 1 | 20 | 5 |
| Justin Wrobleski | TTO3 | 27 | .200 | .360 | .560 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
May's 2025 first pass through the order is his strength: .226 / .305 / .347 (.573 OPS) over 227 PA. The second pass through the order is the cliff -- .290 / .370 / .508 (.798 OPS) over 220 PA, with 9 HR. The third pass through the order holds at .263 / .365 / .517 (.780 OPS) over 137 PA. Innings 4-6 are the danger window.
Wrobleski's 2025 sample is concentrated in the first pass through the order (200 PA) and thins out: TTO2 73 PA, TTO3 only 27 PA. The TTO3 line of .200 / .222 / .360 (.560 OPS) with 1 K total is too small to lean on -- the working signal is that he rarely sees the third pass through the order.
2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE
| Reliever | IR | Scored | Strand% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 29 | 11 | 62.1% |
| JoJo Romero | 26 | 3 | 88.5% |
| Matt Svanson | 26 | 13 | 50.0% |
| Gordon Graceffo | 11 | 5 | 54.5% |
| Riley O'Brien | 10 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Michael McGreevy | 3 | 0 | 100.0% |
League average strand rate sits in the 68-72% band. Romero is the elite arm of the bullpen at 88.5% (26 IR, 3 scored). Svanson at 50.0% (26 IR, 13 scored) and Graceffo at 54.5% (11 IR, 5 scored) sit well below league average -- traffic given to either has historically come around. Leahy 62.1% is below average, O'Brien 70.0% is roughly average. McGreevy's 100.0% (3 IR, 0 scored) is a small sample. The fork: which arm enters with runners on decides the middle innings.
2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP
Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (Career)
| Pitcher | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May | 372 | 44.1% | 28.2% | 26.6% |
| Justin Wrobleski | 191 | 51.3% | 20.4% | 26.2% |
Hitter Batted Ball Results (Career) -- LAD
| Hitter | GB AVG | LD AVG | FB AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | .235 | .684 | .141 |
| Santiago Espinal | .306 | .500 | .048 |
| Alex Freeland | .353 | .600 | .111 |
| Freddie Freeman | .279 | .667 | .119 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | .222 | .649 | .087 |
| Hyeseong Kim | .351 | .586 | .250 |
| Max Muncy | .190 | .586 | .143 |
| Andy Pages | .258 | .592 | .096 |
| Miguel Rojas | .239 | .597 | .069 |
| Dalton Rushing | .267 | .600 | .167 |
| Will Smith | .362 | .688 | .100 |
| Kyle Tucker | .185 | .628 | .122 |
May is mildly GB-leaning (44.1% GB / 28.2% FB / 26.6% LD over 372 BIP, career). The LAD bats with the heaviest career line-drive damage are Will Smith (.688 LD AVG), Alex Call (.684), Freeman (.667), Hernandez (.649), and Tucker (.628). Smith and Call also have the best GB AVG of the group (.362, .235 lower-tier respectively -- Smith and Kim .351 are the GB threats), so when May misses up the bats most likely to punish are Smith and Tucker. Tucker's career FB AVG of .122 means he does most damage on liners.
Wrobleski is more GB-leaning (51.3% GB / 20.4% FB / 26.2% LD over 191 BIP, career). The Cardinals' best LD-AVG profile in the JSON's hitter table belongs to LAD bats (this is a one-side hitter sample), but on the Cardinals' side Gorman's 2025 batted-ball profile (30.2% GB / 41.7% FB) is the FB outlier -- against a GB-leaner like Wrobleski, his contact may not stay airborne as often.
2H: BATTERY PAIRING
| Catcher | G | IP | ERA | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 11 | 56.0 | 4.98 | .255 | -- | -- |
| Dalton Rushing | 6 | 34.2 | 3.89 | .227 | -- | -- |
| Carlos Narváez | 4 | 21.0 | 4.71 | .299 | -- | -- |
| Austin Barnes | 2 | 12.1 | 4.38 | .250 | -- | -- |
| Connor Wong | 2 | 5.1 | 6.75 | .348 | -- | -- |
The catchers above reflect May's prior tenure -- Will Smith (11 G, 56.0 IP, 4.98 ERA), Rushing (6 G, 34.2 IP, 3.89 ERA), Narvaez (4 G, 21.0 IP, 4.71), Barnes (2 G, 12.1 IP, 4.38), and Wong (2 G, 5.1 IP, 6.75) are all from earlier years. None of those catchers are on the Cardinals' active roster. Today's catcher is Pedro Pages, who has 0 career IP with May in this dataset. Fresh battery -- watch for early mistake-call sequences in May's first pass through the order, and watch for hesitancy on the running game.
2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP
Top LAD speed (career): Tucker 25 SB / 3 CS (89.3%), Pages 14 SB / 7 CS (66.7%), Kim 13 SB / 1 CS (92.9%), Freeman 6 SB / 2 CS (75.0%).
Mid-tier: Rojas 5 / 0 (100%), Hernandez 5 / 2 (71.4%), Espinal 2 / 1 (66.7%), Call 2 / 1 (66.7%).
Low-volume: Smith 2 / 3 (40.0%), Muncy 1 / 1 (50.0%), Freeland 1 / 0 (100%).
Watch: Tucker is the elite threat -- with Pages catching for May for the first time in this dataset, the running game is live. Kim's 92.9% career success rate is the second worry if he reaches.
2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT
| Player | POS | G | DP | E | Fld% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Scott | CF | 136 | 3 | 6 | 0.982 |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 129 | 64 | 3 | 0.994 |
| Pedro Pagés | C | 110 | 6 | 5 | 0.994 |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 108 | 2 | 4 | 0.981 |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 54 | 11 | 6 | 0.950 |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0.990 |
| Alec Burleson | LF | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Alec Burleson | RF | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0.983 |
| Nolan Gorman | 2B | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0.990 |
| Nathan Church | CF | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera | C | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.989 |
| Nolan Gorman | 1B | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Nathan Church | RF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.833 |
| Victor Scott | RF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Nathan Church | LF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Victor Scott | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 1B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 2B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Alec Burleson | P | 1 | 0 | 0 | -- |
Today's defensive alignment: Wetherholt at 2B (no fielding sample in this dataset), Burleson at 1B, Gorman at 3B, Winn at SS, Walker at RF, Scott at CF, Church at LF, Pages at C, Herrera at DH. Winn (.994 fld%, 64 DP at SS) and Pages (.994 fld% at C) anchor the spine. Walker .981 at RF and Scott .982 at CF are average-to-clean. The weakest infield link is Gorman at 3B: 6 errors over 54 G in 2025 sample for a .950 fld% -- well below the rest of the alignment. With Wrobleski's career 51.3% GB rate, traffic at the corners is in play.
2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD
Recent head-to-head (regular season): 2025 Cardinals 4-2, 2024 Cardinals 2-5, 2023 Cardinals 3-4, 2022 Cardinals 2-4. The 2025 series flipped a four-year run of LAD edges. STL leads the current 2026 set 2-0 entering today.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium plays as a pitcher-leaning venue historically. Specific 2025 park-factor numbers are not in the JSON; treat the venue as neutral-to-slightly-pitcher.
2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 544 | 79 | 14.5% | 39 | 7.2% |
| Masyn Winn | 537 | 102 | 19.0% | 34 | 6.3% |
| Victor Scott | 463 | 111 | 24.0% | 42 | 9.1% |
| Ivan Herrera | 450 | 84 | 18.7% | 43 | 9.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 402 | 136 | 33.8% | 47 | 11.7% |
| Jordan Walker | 396 | 126 | 31.8% | 29 | 7.3% |
| Pedro Pagés | 389 | 107 | 27.5% | 19 | 4.9% |
| Nathan Church | 65 | 18 | 27.7% | 3 | 4.6% |
2025 K%/BB% scope. Burleson (14.5% 2025 K%, 7.2% 2025 BB%) is the contact anchor. Gorman 33.8%, Walker 31.8%, Pagés 27.5%, Church 27.7% are the high-K bats. Pagés 4.9% 2025 BB% and Church 4.6% are the lowest walk rates -- the eighth and seventh spots will not extend at-bats.
Dodgers
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 627 | 128 | 20.4% | 60 | 9.6% |
| Andy Pages | 624 | 135 | 21.6% | 29 | 4.6% |
| Kyle Tucker | 595 | 88 | 14.8% | 87 | 14.6% |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 545 | 134 | 24.6% | 26 | 4.8% |
| Will Smith | 436 | 89 | 20.4% | 64 | 14.7% |
| Santiago Espinal | 328 | 38 | 11.6% | 21 | 6.4% |
| Alex Call | 322 | 55 | 17.1% | 36 | 11.2% |
| Miguel Rojas | 317 | 46 | 14.5% | 24 | 7.6% |
| Max Muncy | 220 | 68 | 30.9% | 10 | 4.5% |
| Hyeseong Kim | 170 | 52 | 30.6% | 7 | 4.1% |
| Dalton Rushing | 155 | 58 | 37.4% | 10 | 6.5% |
| Alex Freeland | 97 | 35 | 36.1% | 11 | 11.3% |
2025 K%/BB% scope. Tucker (14.6% 2025 BB%) and Smith (14.7% 2025 BB%) are the elite-discipline bats -- both walk at premium rates. The K% extremes are Rushing 37.4%, Freeland 36.1%, Muncy 30.9%, Kim 30.6% (all in the lower-PA tier of the table). The chase-prone names are Pages (4.6% 2025 BB%), Hernandez (4.8%), Muncy (4.5%), and Kim (4.1%) -- the lower walk rates show up alongside the higher K rates. Espinal at 11.6% K% is the contact outlier.
2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 398 | 42.0% | 33.4% | 24.6% |
| Masyn Winn | 376 | 39.6% | 34.0% | 26.3% |
| Ivan Herrera | 285 | 52.6% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Victor Scott | 259 | 40.2% | 32.0% | 27.8% |
| Pedro Pagés | 243 | 44.9% | 30.9% | 24.3% |
| Jordan Walker | 231 | 48.9% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 199 | 30.2% | 41.7% | 28.1% |
| Nathan Church | 37 | 67.6% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
2025 batted-ball scope. Gorman is the FB outlier at 30.2% 2025 GB% / 41.7% 2025 FB% over 199 BIP -- the only Cardinal swinging a clear FB profile. Herrera 52.6% GB and Walker 48.9% GB are the ground-ball leaners. Church's 67.6% GB is a small-sample (37 BIP). Burleson, Winn, Scott, and Pages cluster near average.
Dodgers
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | 459 | 38.8% | 34.0% | 27.2% |
| Freddie Freeman | 455 | 43.3% | 29.7% | 27.0% |
| Kyle Tucker | 412 | 36.7% | 35.9% | 27.4% |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 396 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 23.7% |
| Will Smith | 295 | 35.6% | 37.3% | 27.1% |
| Santiago Espinal | 259 | 42.9% | 32.4% | 24.7% |
| Miguel Rojas | 247 | 45.7% | 29.1% | 25.1% |
| Alex Call | 219 | 44.7% | 29.2% | 26.0% |
| Max Muncy | 127 | 49.6% | 27.6% | 22.8% |
| Hyeseong Kim | 106 | 53.8% | 18.9% | 27.4% |
| Dalton Rushing | 80 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| Alex Freeland | 45 | 37.8% | 40.0% | 22.2% |
2025 batted-ball scope. Hernandez (50.0% 2025 GB%) and Kim (53.8%) are the GB-leaners -- their contact stays on the ground vs May's 44.1% career GB rate. Freeland (40.0% 2025 FB%), Smith (37.3%), Rushing (37.5%), and Tucker (35.9%) are the FB-leaning bats. Tucker's near-balanced 36.7% / 35.9% / 27.4% with a career .628 LD AVG marks him as the most all-fields threat.
2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE
| Pitcher | IP | K | K% | BB | BB% | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May | 132.1 | 123 | 21.1% | 56 | 9.6% | 2.20 |
| Justin Wrobleski | 66.2 | 76 | 27.1% | 17 | 6.1% | 4.47 |
May -- 2026 to date: 16.9% K%, 5.4% BB%, 5.28 ERA. 2025 baseline: 21.1% K%, 9.6% BB%, 2.20 K/BB ratio over 132.1 IP. The 2026 K rate sits below the 2025 line; the BB rate is improved.
Wrobleski -- 2026 to date: 12.6% K%, 7.6% BB%, 1.50 ERA. 2025 baseline: 27.1% K%, 6.1% BB%, 4.47 K/BB ratio over 66.2 IP. The 2026 K rate is well below his 2025 line; the BB rate is mildly worse. The 1.50 ERA is doing the work without the strikeouts so far.
KEY MATCHUPS & WATCHLIST
Pages vs Wrobleski. 4-for-6 career with 2 HR (.667 / .714 / 1.833) -- the only Cardinal with PA size and slug damage on Wrobleski. Pages also fits Wrobleski's reverse split as a RHB (Wrobleski 2025 vs RHB .276 / .322 / .396 over 208 PA). Eighth-spot bat carrying the matchup edge.
Tucker vs May. 2-for-4 career (.500 AVG, .500 SLG) with one walk and one strikeout. Tucker also leads the LAD active-roster pool in 2025 BB% (14.6%) and is the lineup's best on-base bat vs RHP (.380 OBP over 423 PA). Career baserunning 25 SB / 3 CS (89.3%) makes him the threat at every level.
Herrera vs LHP. 2025 platoon line .330 / .455 / .660 with 9 HR over 124 PA -- the cleanest LHP-line in the Cardinals' lineup. Hits second from the DH spot, immediately behind Wetherholt and ahead of Burleson. With Wrobleski's reverse split keying on RHB, Herrera is the focal RHB.
Situational edges. May's 2025 second pass through the order (.290 / .370 / .508 over 220 PA) is the cliff -- innings 4-6. Cardinals bullpen fork: Romero 88.5% IR strand vs Svanson 50.0%. Pages-May fresh battery (0 IP together in this dataset) opens a window for Tucker on the bases.
X-factor. Wrobleski's 2026 K rate (12.6% K%) is well below his 2025 baseline (27.1% K%), but the run prevention has held -- 1.50 ERA across 4 starts. If the contact catches up to him today, the Cardinals' 4 RHB are the bats most likely to do the catching.
QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES
1. How has Pedro Pages performed against Justin Wrobleski in their career?
2. How has Dustin May fared against Kyle Tucker in their career?
3. How has JoJo Romero performed against Freddie Freeman in their career?
4. What are Dustin May's third-time-through-the-order splits in 2025?
5. What are Ivan Herrera's splits vs LHP in 2025?
6. How often does JoJo Romero strand inherited runners in 2025?
7. What is the home run park factor at Busch Stadium in 2025?
700 CLARK -- POWERED BY BASES.CHAT | HISTORICAL DATA THROUGH 2025