NL CENTRAL STANDINGS
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 20-12 | - | W3 |
| Reds | 20-12 | - | L1 |
| Cardinals | 19-13 | 1.0 | W5 |
| Brewers | 17-14 | 2.5 | W2 |
| Pirates | 17-16 | 3.5 | W1 |
NL WEST STANDINGS
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | 20-12 | - | L3 |
| Padres | 19-12 | 0.5 | L3 |
| D-backs | 16-15 | 3.5 | L2 |
| Rockies | 14-19 | 6.5 | L2 |
| Giants | 13-19 | 7.0 | L4 |
RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)
| Date | Opp | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | LAD | Home | W 7-2 |
| Apr 30 | PIT | Away | W 10-5 |
| Apr 29 | PIT | Away | W 5-4 |
| Apr 28 | PIT | Away | W 11-7 |
| Apr 27 | PIT | Away | W 4-2 |
| Apr 26 | SEA | Home | L 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | SEA | Home | L 9-11 |
| Apr 24 | SEA | Home | L 2-3 |
| Apr 22 | MIA | Away | L 1-4 |
| Apr 21 | MIA | Away | W 5-3 |
STARTING PITCHERS
Michael McGreevy (R) -- Cardinals
2026 to date: 1-2, 2.97 ERA, 33.1 IP, 21 K, 5 BB, 0.90 WHIP across 6 starts. 50.0% GB%, 16.5% K%, 3.9% BB%. Sharp command and ground-ball lean -- but the 2025 baseline carries a reverse-platoon tilt (.318/.368/.543 vs LHB) and a 5.22 home ERA vs 3.55 on the road.
Roki Sasaki (R) -- Dodgers
2026 to date: 1-2, 6.35 ERA, 22.2 IP, 22 K, 13 BB, 1.81 WHIP across 5 starts. 46.5% GB%, 20.4% K%, 12.0% BB%. Walks remain the defining variable -- 2025 baseline 13.7% BB%, 1.27 K/BB. 2025 home/away split: 2.70 ERA home, 4.00 away. Tonight he is on the road.
EXPECTED LINEUPS
Cardinals (Projected from 2026-05-01)
| # | Player | Pos | Bats | 2026 RISP AVG | 2026 RISP OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wetherholt | 2B | L | .250 | .708 |
| 2 | Herrera | DH | R | .250 | .805 |
| 3 | Burleson | 1B | L | .366 | .998 |
| 4 | Walker | RF | R | .256 | .798 |
| 5 | Gorman | 3B | L | .243 | .700 |
| 6 | Winn | SS | R | .214 | .574 |
| 7 | Church | LF | L | .250 | .597 |
| 8 | Pagés | C | R | .190 | .550 |
| 9 | Scott | CF | L | .100 | .308 |
Handedness: 4 RHB (Herrera, Walker, Winn, Pagés), 5 LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Gorman, Church, Scott).
Dodgers (From active roster)
12 players listed from active roster pool. Actual game lineup will be 9 from this group.
| Player | Pos | Bats |
|---|---|---|
| Call | LF | R |
| Freeland | 2B | S |
| Pages | CF | R |
| Rushing | C | L |
| Freeman | 1B | L |
| Kim | SS | L |
| Tucker | RF | L |
| Muncy | 3B | L |
| Rojas | SS | R |
| Espinal | 3B | R |
| Hernández | LF | R |
| Smith | C | R |
Handedness: 6 RHB (Call, Pages, Rojas, Espinal, Hernández, Smith), 5 LHB (Rushing, Freeman, Kim, Tucker, Muncy).
INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES
Active rosters as listed (26 STL, 26 LAD). Series posture: Cardinals carry a five-game winning streak (W5) into Game 2 of 3, leading the series 1-0 after last night's 7-2 result; Dodgers enter on a three-game skid (L3).
2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER
No data available for this section.
No Cardinals batter carries a career BvP sample against Sasaki -- this is a first-look matchup for the lineup. The 2025 platoon and TTO splits below are the better signal tonight.
Bench note: No significant bench BvP history against Sasaki.
2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 8 | 8 | 3 | .375 | .375 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddie Freeman | 3 | 3 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Will Smith | 3 | 3 | 2 | .667 | .667 | 1.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 3 | 3 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hyeseong Kim | 2 | 2 | 1 | .500 | .500 | 1.500 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Small sample: Kyle Tucker (8 PA), Freddie Freeman (3 PA), Will Smith (3 PA), Teoscar Hernandez (3 PA), Hyeseong Kim (2 PA).
Tucker (3-for-8, .375) and Smith (2-for-3, .667) hold the strongest career BvP marks, but every sample is 8 PA or smaller. Freeman (0-for-3, 1 K) and Hernandez (0-for-3) are hitless against McGreevy. Treat these as priors, not predictions.
Bench note: No significant bench BvP history against McGreevy beyond the rows above.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson L | 419 | .296 | .353 | .478 | 15 | 32 | 59 |
| Masyn Winn R | 374 | .251 | .309 | .368 | 7 | 23 | 71 |
| Victor Scott L | 332 | .221 | .310 | .317 | 5 | 31 | 75 |
| Ivan Herrera R | 328 | .268 | .343 | .399 | 10 | 24 | 66 |
| Nolan Gorman L | 309 | .201 | .294 | .349 | 9 | 37 | 111 |
| Jordan Walker R | 289 | .200 | .263 | .291 | 4 | 21 | 94 |
| Pedro Pagés R | 276 | .225 | .264 | .364 | 9 | 12 | 72 |
| Nathan Church L | 51 | .114 | .216 | .182 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
The Cardinals lean lefty against Sasaki tonight: five of nine projected starters bat L. Burleson's 2025 vs-RHP line (.296/.353/.478) is the best baseline; Herrera's .268/.343/.399 anchors the right side. Gorman (.201) and Walker (.200) are the slumping spots in the L/R mix; Church's 51-PA 2025 sample is small but cold (.114).
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages R | 512 | .246 | .290 | .445 | 24 | 23 | 109 |
| Freddie Freeman L | 502 | .288 | .371 | .482 | 17 | 54 | 94 |
| Teoscar Hernandez R | 474 | .245 | .285 | .457 | 23 | 25 | 128 |
| Kyle Tucker L | 423 | .261 | .380 | .453 | 14 | 67 | 62 |
| Will Smith R | 375 | .305 | .403 | .505 | 15 | 49 | 76 |
| Alex Call R | 209 | .247 | .374 | .335 | 1 | 29 | 35 |
| Santiago Espinal R | 202 | .228 | .276 | .245 | 0 | 12 | 27 |
| Miguel Rojas R | 195 | .244 | .292 | .328 | 2 | 11 | 31 |
| Max Muncy R | 176 | .217 | .256 | .404 | 8 | 6 | 54 |
| Hyeseong Kim L | 149 | .264 | .304 | .357 | 2 | 7 | 44 |
| Dalton Rushing L | 115 | .213 | .261 | .370 | 4 | 7 | 44 |
| Alex Freeland B | 81 | .200 | .300 | .343 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
McGreevy's reverse-platoon look (see 2D) flips the usual read. Freeman (.288/.371), Tucker (.261/.380), and Smith (.305/.403) are the names to budget for vs RHP in 2025; Andy Pages (.246, 24 HR vs RHP in 2025) is the power play; Hernandez (.245, 23 HR) is the second power threat. Freeland (.200) and Muncy (.217) are the soft spots.
2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS
| Pitcher | vs | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy | vs LHB | 190 | .318 | .368 | .543 | .861 | 9 | 27 |
| Michael McGreevy | vs RHB | 210 | .225 | .255 | .325 | .550 | 3 | 31 |
| Roki Sasaki | vs LHB | 103 | .212 | .350 | .400 | .612 | 4 | 17 |
| Roki Sasaki | vs RHB | 101 | .207 | .307 | .345 | .552 | 2 | 17 |
McGreevy's reverse-platoon look is the headline. 2025 vs LHB: .318/.368/.543, .861 OPS, 9 HR. 2025 vs RHB: .225/.255/.325, .550 OPS, 3 HR. The Dodgers carry five LHB (Rushing, Freeman, Kim, Tucker, Muncy) -- the lineup is structured to attack his weakness.
Sasaki's 2025 splits run flat across handedness on AVG (.212 vs LHB, .207 vs RHB) but his BB rate climbs sharply against lefties (17 BB in 103 PA). Command is the swing factor, not handedness.
2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS
| Pitcher | Split | BF | IP | ERA | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy | Away | 188 | 45.2 | 3.55 | 24 | 9 | 6 |
| Michael McGreevy | Home | 212 | 50.0 | 5.22 | 34 | 11 | 6 |
| Roki Sasaki | Away | 121 | 27.0 | 4.00 | 20 | 17 | 4 |
| Roki Sasaki | Home | 83 | 20.0 | 2.70 | 14 | 10 | 2 |
Tonight's game is at Busch Stadium -- McGreevy pitching home. His 2025 home ERA is 5.22 vs 3.55 on the road, a meaningful split. Sasaki is on the road; his 2025 away ERA is 4.00, with 17 BB in 27.0 IP -- command sharper at home (2.70 ERA, 10 BB in 20.0 IP) but tonight he is in the harder context.
2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)
| Pitcher | TTO | PA | AVG | SLG | OPS | HR | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy | TTO1 | 154 | .282 | .465 | .747 | 5 | 22 | 8 |
| Michael McGreevy | TTO2 | 152 | .271 | .417 | .688 | 4 | 14 | 6 |
| Michael McGreevy | TTO3 | 94 | .241 | .379 | .620 | 3 | 22 | 6 |
| Roki Sasaki | TTO1 | 123 | .224 | .430 | .654 | 5 | 19 | 14 |
| Roki Sasaki | TTO2 | 61 | .204 | .327 | .531 | 1 | 14 | 11 |
| Roki Sasaki | TTO3 | 20 | .125 | .125 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
McGreevy's 2025 TTO line tightens later: AVG drops from .282 (first pass through the order, innings 1-3) to .271 (second pass, innings 4-6) to .241 (third pass, innings 7+). HR allowed (5/4/3) doesn't fall as fast as the AVG, so the third pass remains a danger window despite the lower hit rate.
Sasaki's 2025 TTO3 sample is only 20 PA -- .125 AVG, .250 OPS -- but he has rarely lasted that long. The realistic fork is whether his 2025 second pass through the order (.204 AVG, .531 OPS) holds long enough to bridge to the LAD bullpen.
2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE
| Reliever | IR | Scored | Strand% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 29 | 11 | 62.1% |
| JoJo Romero | 26 | 3 | 88.5% |
| Matt Svanson | 26 | 13 | 50.0% |
| Gordon Graceffo | 11 | 5 | 54.5% |
| Riley O'Brien | 10 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Michael McGreevy | 3 | 0 | 100.0% |
Romero's 88.5% strand rate is the elite mark in the Cardinals pen (league average ~68-72%). Svanson at 50.0% (13 of 26 inherited runners scored) is the soft underbelly -- if the inning gets to a tight middle frame, the choice between those two arms could swing the game. Leahy's 62.1% strand on 21 entries is the heaviest workload in the group.
2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP
Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (Career)
| Pitcher | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy | 307 | 49.2% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Roki Sasaki | 133 | 41.4% | 33.1% | 25.6% |
Hitter Batted Ball Results (Career) -- LAD
| Hitter | GB AVG | LD AVG | FB AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | .235 | .684 | .141 |
| Santiago Espinal | .306 | .500 | .048 |
| Alex Freeland | .353 | .600 | .111 |
| Freddie Freeman | .279 | .667 | .119 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | .222 | .649 | .087 |
| Hyeseong Kim | .351 | .586 | .250 |
| Max Muncy | .190 | .586 | .143 |
| Andy Pages | .258 | .592 | .096 |
| Miguel Rojas | .239 | .597 | .069 |
| Dalton Rushing | .267 | .600 | .167 |
| Will Smith | .362 | .688 | .100 |
| Kyle Tucker | .185 | .628 | .122 |
McGreevy's career 49.2% GB% pairs against a Dodgers pool that runs lower than league on grounders -- Tucker (36.7%), Smith (35.6%), and Pages (38.8%) keep balls in the air in 2025. The 2025 GB-leaning bats in the LAD pool (Hernandez 50.0%, Kim 53.8%) are the best bets for McGreevy's profile to play to type.
Sasaki's 41.4% career GB% is closer to neutral. The Cardinals' 2025 GB-leaning bats (Herrera 52.6%, Walker 48.9%) line up; the high-FB hitters (Gorman 41.7% 2025 FB%, Burleson 33.4%) are the carry threats.
2H: BATTERY PAIRING
| Catcher | G | IP | ERA | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pagés | 14 | 80.2 | 4.24 | .266 | -- | -- |
| Jimmy Crooks | 2 | 8.2 | 9.35 | .385 | -- | -- |
| Yohel Pozo | 1 | 5.2 | 0.00 | .056 | -- | -- |
Tonight's catcher is Pedro Pagés (per the projected lineup -- batting 8th, position C). His 14 games and 80.2 IP with the staff is the only meaningful battery sample in the table -- 4.24 ERA paired. Crooks is not on the active roster tonight (Pagés and Iván Herrera are the rostered catchers); his 9.35 ERA in 8.2 IP is reference only. Pozo is on the active roster but his 5.2 IP sample is too small to weight.
2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP
Kyle Tucker -- 25 SB, 3 CS in 2025 (89.3% success). The most efficient base-thief in either lineup tonight; Pagés behind the plate.
Andy Pages -- 14 SB, 7 CS in 2025 (66.7% success). Volume present, success rate average.
Hyeseong Kim -- 13 SB, 1 CS in 2025 (92.9% success). The other elite efficiency mark in the LAD pool.
Freddie Freeman -- 6 SB, 2 CS in 2025 (75.0% success). Picks his spots.
Miguel Rojas -- 5 SB, 0 CS in 2025 (100.0% success). Flawless on a small sample.
Teoscar Hernandez -- 5 SB, 2 CS in 2025 (71.4% success).
Santiago Espinal -- 2 SB, 1 CS in 2025 (66.7% success).
Alex Call -- 2 SB, 1 CS in 2025 (66.7% success).
Will Smith -- 2 SB, 3 CS in 2025 (40.0% success). Catcher won't run.
Max Muncy -- 1 SB, 1 CS in 2025 (50.0% success).
Alex Freeland -- 1 SB, 0 CS in 2025 (100.0% success).
2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT
| Player | POS | G | DP | E | Fld% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Scott | CF | 136 | 3 | 6 | 0.982 |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 129 | 64 | 3 | 0.994 |
| Pedro Pagés | C | 110 | 6 | 5 | 0.994 |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 108 | 2 | 4 | 0.981 |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 54 | 11 | 6 | 0.950 |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0.990 |
| Alec Burleson | LF | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Alec Burleson | RF | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0.983 |
| Nolan Gorman | 2B | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0.990 |
| Nathan Church | CF | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera | C | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.989 |
| Nolan Gorman | 1B | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Nathan Church | RF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.833 |
| Victor Scott | RF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Nathan Church | LF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Victor Scott | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 1B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 2B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Alec Burleson | P | 1 | 0 | 0 | -- |
Tonight's projected Cardinals alignment is anchored up the middle by Winn at SS (.994 fld%, 64 DPs across 129 G) and Pagés at C (.994). Walker in RF (.981 across 108 G) and Scott II in CF (.982 across 136 G) cover the outfield. Gorman is starting at 3B tonight (career-sample fld% .950 in 54 G at the position). Wetherholt is starting at 2B but has no 2025 fielding sample in the table. Burleson at 1B (.990 across 50 G) and Church in LF (career sample .833 in 7 RF games and 1.000 in 5 LF games) round out the alignment.
2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD
Recent head-to-head: Cardinals 4-2 in 2025, 2-5 in 2024, 3-4 in 2023, 2-4 in 2022. Tonight's venue is Busch Stadium -- a venue that historically plays as roughly neutral on runs and slightly suppresses power.
2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 544 | 79 | 14.5% | 39 | 7.2% |
| Masyn Winn | 537 | 102 | 19.0% | 34 | 6.3% |
| Victor Scott | 463 | 111 | 24.0% | 42 | 9.1% |
| Ivan Herrera | 450 | 84 | 18.7% | 43 | 9.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 402 | 136 | 33.8% | 47 | 11.7% |
| Jordan Walker | 396 | 126 | 31.8% | 29 | 7.3% |
| Pedro Pagés | 389 | 107 | 27.5% | 19 | 4.9% |
| Nathan Church | 65 | 18 | 27.7% | 3 | 4.6% |
Burleson's 2025 14.5% K% / 7.2% BB% is the cleanest contact mark in the Cardinals lineup. Gorman (33.8%), Walker (31.8%), Pagés (27.5%), and Church (27.7%) carry elevated 2025 K%; Pagés (4.9%) and Church (4.6%) also pair that with low 2025 BB%. League average reference: 22.1% K%, 9.6% BB%.
Dodgers
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 627 | 128 | 20.4% | 60 | 9.6% |
| Andy Pages | 624 | 135 | 21.6% | 29 | 4.6% |
| Kyle Tucker | 595 | 88 | 14.8% | 87 | 14.6% |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 545 | 134 | 24.6% | 26 | 4.8% |
| Will Smith | 436 | 89 | 20.4% | 64 | 14.7% |
| Santiago Espinal | 328 | 38 | 11.6% | 21 | 6.4% |
| Alex Call | 322 | 55 | 17.1% | 36 | 11.2% |
| Miguel Rojas | 317 | 46 | 14.5% | 24 | 7.6% |
| Max Muncy | 220 | 68 | 30.9% | 10 | 4.5% |
| Hyeseong Kim | 170 | 52 | 30.6% | 7 | 4.1% |
| Dalton Rushing | 155 | 58 | 37.4% | 10 | 6.5% |
| Alex Freeland | 97 | 35 | 36.1% | 11 | 11.3% |
Tucker (14.8% K% / 14.6% BB%) and Smith (20.4% / 14.7%) are the strongest 2025 plate-discipline profiles in the LAD pool. Freeland (36.1%), Rushing (37.4%), Muncy (30.9%), and Kim (30.6%) all carry elevated 2025 K% -- the bottom of any Dodgers lineup tonight is vulnerable to McGreevy's command. Espinal's 11.6% 2025 K% is the cleanest contact mark in the pool.
2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 398 | 42.0% | 33.4% | 24.6% |
| Masyn Winn | 376 | 39.6% | 34.0% | 26.3% |
| Ivan Herrera | 285 | 52.6% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Victor Scott | 259 | 40.2% | 32.0% | 27.8% |
| Pedro Pagés | 243 | 44.9% | 30.9% | 24.3% |
| Jordan Walker | 231 | 48.9% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 199 | 30.2% | 41.7% | 28.1% |
| Nathan Church | 37 | 67.6% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
Gorman's 2025 41.7% FB% is the lineup's loudest carry profile (paired with 30.2% GB%) -- his swing matches Sasaki's 41.4% career GB% pitcher mix on the air-ball side. Herrera (52.6% 2025 GB%) and Church (67.6%) lean the other way -- ground-ball outcomes more likely.
Dodgers
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | 459 | 38.8% | 34.0% | 27.2% |
| Freddie Freeman | 455 | 43.3% | 29.7% | 27.0% |
| Kyle Tucker | 412 | 36.7% | 35.9% | 27.4% |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 396 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 23.7% |
| Will Smith | 295 | 35.6% | 37.3% | 27.1% |
| Santiago Espinal | 259 | 42.9% | 32.4% | 24.7% |
| Miguel Rojas | 247 | 45.7% | 29.1% | 25.1% |
| Alex Call | 219 | 44.7% | 29.2% | 26.0% |
| Max Muncy | 127 | 49.6% | 27.6% | 22.8% |
| Hyeseong Kim | 106 | 53.8% | 18.9% | 27.4% |
| Dalton Rushing | 80 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| Alex Freeland | 45 | 37.8% | 40.0% | 22.2% |
Tucker (36.7%) and Smith (35.6%) carry the lowest 2025 GB% in the LAD pool -- ball-in-air hitters most likely to find McGreevy's mistakes. Hernandez (50.0%) and Kim (53.8%) lean ground-ball; Freeland's 40.0% 2025 FB% is the highest carry rate in the pool.
2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE
| Pitcher | IP | K | K% | BB | BB% | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy | 95.2 | 58 | 14.5% | 20 | 5.0% | 2.90 |
| Roki Sasaki | 36.1 | 28 | 17.4% | 22 | 13.7% | 1.27 |
McGreevy's 2025 K/BB ratio is 2.90 (14.5% K%, 5.0% BB%) -- elite command, modest strikeout rate. Sasaki's 2025 K/BB ratio is 1.27 (17.4% K%, 13.7% BB%) -- the higher K rate is erased by the walks. League average reference: 22.1% K%, 9.6% BB%.
2026 to date: McGreevy 21 K, 5 BB in 33.1 IP (16.5% K%, 3.9% BB%) -- 2025 baseline holding. Sasaki 22 K, 13 BB in 22.2 IP (20.4% K%, 12.0% BB%) -- 2025 baseline also holding.
KEY MATCHUPS & WATCHLIST
Key Matchups
1. Kyle Tucker (LHB) vs Michael McGreevy. Tucker is 3-for-8 (.375) career against McGreevy with zero strikeouts. His 2025 vs-RHP line (.261/.380/.453) plus 14.6% 2025 BB% means he reaches even when he doesn't drive. McGreevy's reverse-platoon look (.318/.368/.543 vs LHB in 2025) gives Tucker the best at-bat conditions in the lineup.
2. Alec Burleson (LHB) vs Roki Sasaki. Burleson's 2025 vs-RHP line is .296/.353/.478 -- the lineup's strongest baseline. Sasaki's 2025 vs-LHB OBP is .350; walks are the seam. Hitting third, Burleson is the early-inning RBI thread.
3. Will Smith (RHB) vs Michael McGreevy. 2-for-3 career BvP (small sample). 2025 vs-RHP: .305/.403/.505 -- the best in the LAD pool against righties. McGreevy's 2025 vs-RHB line is .225/.255/.325 -- this is the highest-stakes RHB test on the night.
Watchlist
-- McGreevy at home. 5.22 home ERA vs 3.55 road ERA in 2025. Tonight's start is in the harder context.
-- McGreevy reverse platoon. .318/.368/.543 vs LHB in 2025. Dodgers carry five LHB in tonight's pool.
-- Sasaki TTO3 sample. Only 20 PA in 2025 (.125 AVG, .250 OPS). The cliff is real but the sample is fragile -- the more likely fork is whether Sasaki's second pass through the order (.204 AVG, .531 OPS) holds.
-- Bullpen fork. Romero 88.5% strand vs Svanson 50.0%. Which arm enters with runners on decides the middle innings.
-- Series posture. Cardinals lead 1-0 of 3 with a W5 streak; Dodgers enter L3.
QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES
1. How has Kyle Tucker performed against Michael McGreevy in their career?
2. How has Ivan Herrera fared against Roki Sasaki in their career?
3. How has Will Smith performed against JoJo Romero in their career?
4. What are Michael McGreevy's third-time-through-the-order splits in 2025?
5. What are Alec Burleson's splits vs RHP in 2025?
6. How often does JoJo Romero strand inherited runners in 2025?
7. What is the home run park factor at Busch Stadium in 2025?
700 CLARK -- POWERED BY BASES.CHAT | HISTORICAL DATA THROUGH 2025