NL CENTRAL STANDINGS
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 18-10 | - | L1 |
| Cubs | 17-12 | 1.5 | L3 |
| Pirates | 16-13 | 2.5 | L2 |
| Cardinals | 15-13 | 3.0 | W1 |
| Brewers | 14-13 | 3.5 | W1 |
RECENT RESULTS (LAST 10)
| Date | Opp | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 | PIT | Away | W 4-2 |
| Apr 26 | SEA | Home | L 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | SEA | Home | L 9-11 |
| Apr 24 | SEA | Home | L 2-3 |
| Apr 22 | MIA | Away | L 1-4 |
| Apr 21 | MIA | Away | W 5-3 |
| Apr 20 | MIA | Away | L 3-5 |
| Apr 19 | HOU | Away | W 7-5 (10) |
| Apr 18 | HOU | Away | W 7-5 |
| Apr 17 | HOU | Away | W 9-4 |
STARTING PITCHERS
Cardinals: Kyle Leahy (R)
2026 to date: 2-3, 5.63 ERA over 24.0 IP across 5 starts. 15 K, 11 BB, 1.67 WHIP, 4 HR allowed. Current GB% 64.2%, K% 13.5%, BB% 9.9%. 2025 baseline: 88.0 IP, 22.0% K%, 7.7% BB%, 2.86 K/BB ratio. Career road ERA 2.68 over 43.2 IP versus 4.47 home ERA over 44.1 IP.
Pirates: TBD
Pittsburgh has not announced a starter at the time of report generation. BvP and matchup specifics for the opposing arm cannot be drawn until the Pirates name their starter.
EXPECTED LINEUPS
Cardinals (From active roster)
13 players listed from active roster pool. Actual game lineup will be 9 from this group.
| Player | Pos | Bats |
|---|---|---|
| Burleson | 1B | L |
| Herrera | C | R |
| Wetherholt | 2B | L |
| Walker | RF | R |
| Fermín | LF | R |
| Winn | SS | R |
| Church | LF | L |
| Gorman | 3B | L |
| Pagés | C | R |
| Urías | 3B | R |
| Saggese | LF | R |
| Scott | CF | L |
| Pozo | C | R |
Handedness: 8 RHB (Herrera, Walker, Fermín, Winn, Pagés, Urías, Saggese, Pozo), 5 LHB (Burleson, Wetherholt, Church, Gorman, Scott).
Pirates (From active roster)
13 players listed from active roster pool. Actual game lineup will be 9 from this group.
| Player | Pos | Bats |
|---|---|---|
| Cook | RF | R |
| Lowe | 2B | L |
| Reynolds | LF | S |
| Davis | C | R |
| Mangum | LF | S |
| Bart | C | R |
| Griffin | SS | R |
| Ozuna | DH | R |
| Gonzales | 3B | R |
| Yorke | 3B | R |
| Cruz | CF | L |
| O'Hearn | RF | L |
| Horwitz | 1B | L |
Handedness: 7 RHB (Cook, Davis, Bart, Griffin, Ozuna, Gonzales, Yorke), 4 LHB (Lowe, Cruz, O'Hearn, Horwitz).
INJURIES & ROSTER NOTES
No injury or roster moves are present in today's data file. Check public injury reports and clubhouse notes before first pitch.
2A: BVP -- CARDINALS BATTERS VS OPPONENT STARTER
No data available for this section.
No BvP rows because the Pirates have not announced a starter. Phase 1 cannot query Cardinals batters vs an unnamed pitcher.
Bench note: Not applicable until the opposing starter is named.
2B: BVP -- OPPONENT BATTERS VS CARDINALS STARTER
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 4 | 4 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Oneil Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .500 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 3 | 3 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Joey Bart | 3 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Gonzales | 3 | 2 | 1 | .500 | .333 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Mangum | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer Horwitz | 1 | 0 | 0 | -- | 1.000 | -- | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Small sample: Bryan Reynolds (4 PA), Oneil Cruz (4 PA), Marcell Ozuna (3 PA), Joey Bart (3 PA), Nick Gonzales (3 PA), Jake Mangum (1 PA), Ryan O'Hearn (2 PA), Spencer Horwitz (1 PA).
All eight rows are small samples (PA <= 4). Reynolds is 0-for-4 with 3 K -- the only meaningful contact-failure note. Cruz is 1-for-3 with 1 BB and 2 K, a snapshot of his swing-or-walk profile. Mangum (1-for-1) and O'Hearn (1-for-1 plus 1 BB) are 100% line-driven blips at 1-2 PA. No batter clears the danger threshold (10 PA, .400 AVG).
Bench note: Cook, Lowe, Davis, Griffin, and Yorke have no career BvP rows against Leahy -- the eight names above are the only Pirates regulars with prior at-bats. The lineup will face Leahy effectively blind on five of nine bats.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- CARDINALS
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson L | 419 | .296 | .353 | .478 | 15 | 32 | 59 |
| Masyn Winn R | 374 | .251 | .309 | .368 | 7 | 23 | 71 |
| Victor Scott L | 332 | .221 | .310 | .317 | 5 | 31 | 75 |
| Ivan Herrera R | 328 | .268 | .343 | .399 | 10 | 24 | 66 |
| Nolan Gorman L | 309 | .201 | .294 | .349 | 9 | 37 | 111 |
| Jordan Walker R | 289 | .200 | .263 | .291 | 4 | 21 | 94 |
| Pedro Pagés R | 276 | .225 | .264 | .364 | 9 | 12 | 72 |
| Ramon Urias R | 273 | .233 | .278 | .367 | 7 | 17 | 57 |
| Thomas Saggese R | 227 | .254 | .305 | .340 | 1 | 15 | 63 |
| Yohel Pozo R | 126 | .217 | .254 | .358 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| José Fermín R | 59 | .280 | .379 | .420 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Nathan Church L | 51 | .114 | .216 | .182 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
2025 vs RHP context for the lineup pool. Burleson (.296/.353/.478) is the platoon anchor. Gorman (.201) and Walker (.200) are the regulars at .200 or below versus right-handers -- the at-bats opposing managers exploit when the bullpen turns over to a RHP. Wetherholt has no 2025 row (rookie season). Pittsburgh's starter is undeclared, so this section reads as season-long context rather than a specific platoon read.
2C: PLATOON SPLITS -- OPPONENT
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds B | 487 | .241 | .312 | .390 | 10 | 39 | 124 |
| Marcell Ozuna R | 451 | .235 | .347 | .415 | 18 | 64 | 111 |
| Ryan O'Hearn L | 438 | .282 | .370 | .427 | 14 | 49 | 83 |
| Oneil Cruz L | 419 | .229 | .320 | .438 | 19 | 48 | 130 |
| Brandon Lowe L | 406 | .280 | .335 | .538 | 26 | 33 | 104 |
| Spencer Horwitz L | 360 | .283 | .358 | .455 | 10 | 37 | 60 |
| Nick Gonzales R | 309 | .266 | .298 | .355 | 3 | 14 | 55 |
| Jake Mangum B | 291 | .304 | .340 | .380 | 2 | 14 | 47 |
| Joey Bart R | 246 | .230 | .333 | .296 | 1 | 26 | 67 |
| Henry Davis R | 221 | .174 | .241 | .272 | 4 | 13 | 61 |
| Nick Yorke R | 47 | .178 | .213 | .267 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| Billy Cook R | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
2025 vs RHP for the Pirates pool (Leahy throws right). The four LHB (Lowe, Cruz, O'Hearn, Horwitz) and two switch-hitters (Reynolds, Mangum) all turn around to bat lefty -- six effective LHB versus seven RHB, slightly tilted to the platoon-disadvantaged side for Leahy. Lowe (.280/.335/.538, 26 HR), O'Hearn (.282/.370/.427), and Horwitz (.283/.358/.455) all clear .280 AVG. Reynolds (.312 OBP) and Mangum (.304/.340) are the contact bats. Davis (.174), Yorke (.178), and Cook (2 PA) are the bottom of the platoon-disadvantaged sub-group.
2D: PITCHER PLATOON SPLITS
| Pitcher | vs | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | vs LHB | 163 | .252 | .337 | .364 | .616 | 3 | 37 |
| Kyle Leahy | vs RHB | 200 | .238 | .270 | .319 | .557 | 2 | 43 |
Leahy is platoon-tilted toward RHB: .238/.270/.319 (.557 OPS) over 200 PA versus .252/.337/.364 (.616 OPS) over 163 PA against LHB. The gap is in walks -- 19 BB to LHB (11.7%) versus 9 BB to RHB (4.5%). Pittsburgh has six effective lefty bats (4 LHB plus 2 switch-hitters) against seven RHB. The matchup type to game-plan: LHB at-bats where Leahy's free-pass rate climbs.
2D-HA: PITCHER HOME/AWAY SPLITS
| Pitcher | Split | BF | IP | ERA | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | Away | 173 | 43.2 | 2.68 | 46 | 13 | 2 |
| Kyle Leahy | Home | 190 | 44.1 | 4.47 | 34 | 15 | 3 |
Today's game is at PNC Park -- Leahy pitching away, where his 2025 career splits favor him by a wide margin: 2.68 ERA over 43.2 IP on the road versus 4.47 ERA over 44.1 IP at home. Strikeout differential follows the ERA: 46 K / 13 BB away versus 34 K / 15 BB at home. The road profile is the version the Cardinals are buying tonight.
2E: TTO SPLITS (TIMES THROUGH ORDER)
| Pitcher | TTO | PA | AVG | SLG | OPS | HR | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | TTO1 | 355 | .247 | .341 | .588 | 5 | 76 | 28 |
| Kyle Leahy | TTO2 | 8 | .125 | .250 | .375 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Leahy's 2025 TTO sample is heavily skewed: 355 PA at TTO1 (.247/.304/.341, .588 OPS) versus only 8 PA at TTO2 (.125 AVG, 4 K in tiny sample). That distribution reflects a career largely spent in relief / opener roles. As a 2026 starter (5 GS, 24.0 IP, 4.8 IP per start average), he is building his TTO2 profile in real time. The innings to watch: 4-5, where his historical sample thins and where the Pirates' contact bats (Mangum, Gonzales, Horwitz) get their second look.
2F: INHERITED RUNNERS PROFILE
| Reliever | IR | Scored | Strand% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 29 | 11 | 62.1% |
| JoJo Romero | 26 | 3 | 88.5% |
| Matt Svanson | 26 | 13 | 50.0% |
| Gordon Graceffo | 11 | 5 | 54.5% |
| Riley O'Brien | 10 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Ryan Fernandez | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| Michael McGreevy | 3 | 0 | 100.0% |
League average IR strand rate: ~68-72%. Romero (88.5% over 26 IR) is the elite fireman. McGreevy (100% over 3 IR) is a small-sample green flag. O'Brien (70%) sits at league average. The danger group: Svanson (50.0% over 26 IR), Fernandez (50.0% over 8 IR), and Graceffo (54.5% over 11 IR) -- all well below league average and all candidates to inherit if Leahy departs mid-inning.
2G: BATTED BALL MATCHUP
Pitcher Batted Ball Profiles (Career)
| Pitcher | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 249 | 44.2% | 26.9% | 27.7% |
Hitter Batted Ball Results (Career) -- PIT
| Hitter | GB AVG | LD AVG | FB AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Bart | .280 | .745 | .098 |
| Billy Cook | .000 | -- | .667 |
| Oneil Cruz | .240 | .590 | .043 |
| Henry Davis | .220 | .526 | .028 |
| Nick Gonzales | .283 | .584 | .099 |
| Spencer Horwitz | .241 | .671 | .109 |
| Brandon Lowe | .225 | .678 | .071 |
| Jake Mangum | .344 | .557 | .086 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | .294 | .611 | .134 |
| Marcell Ozuna | .184 | .658 | .152 |
| Bryan Reynolds | .213 | .600 | .198 |
| Nick Yorke | .276 | .600 | .071 |
Leahy 2025 GB profile: 44.2% GB%, 26.9% FB%, 27.7% LD% (249 BIP). Leahy 2026 to date: 64.2% GB% -- a 20-point spike across his 2026 starts, small sample but a clear directional move. The Pirates lineup leans ground-ball-heavy: Mangum 62.0% GB% with .344 GB AVG (Section 2M -- elite slap-and-run), Bart 53.2%, Cruz 52.7%, Reynolds 49.5%, Gonzales 47.9%, O'Hearn 47.6%. Six PIT regulars hit grounders 47%+ of the time. The collision favors Leahy's profile: routine grounders into the Cardinals infield, where Winn at SS (.994 / 64 DP in 2025) is the conversion engine.
2H: BATTERY PAIRING
| Catcher | G | IP | ERA | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pagés | 43 | 62.0 | 3.05 | .225 | -- | -- |
| Yohel Pozo | 13 | 16.0 | 2.25 | .259 | -- | -- |
| Jimmy Crooks | 4 | 6.1 | 8.53 | .346 | -- | -- |
| Ivan Herrera | 4 | 3.0 | 6.00 | .308 | -- | -- |
Three of the four catchers above are on tonight's active roster (Pages, Pozo, Herrera). Jimmy Crooks is not on the current 26-man -- those 4 G / 6.1 IP / 8.53 ERA reflect a prior battery context that is no longer game-relevant. The active-roster reads: Pages-Leahy is the primary partner (43 G / 62.0 IP / 3.05 ERA / .225 OPP AVG) and the most likely starter behind the plate. Pozo-Leahy is the secondary option (13 G / 16.0 IP / 2.25 ERA / .259 AVG). Herrera-Leahy is effectively a fresh battery -- only 3.0 IP across 4 G, with a .308 OPP AVG in that micro-sample. If Herrera catches tonight, signal sequencing and pop-time calibration are unfamiliar -- a scouting angle in itself given Cruz and Mangum on the bases.
2I: BASERUNNING MATCHUP
Pirates SB profiles (2025):
- Oneil Cruz: 38 SB / 5 CS, 88.4% success -- elite tier, the primary running threat.
- Jake Mangum: 27 SB / 6 CS, 81.8% success -- complementary speed, especially relevant given his 62% GB rate.
- Ryan O'Hearn: 3 SB / 1 CS, 75% success -- low volume, situational.
- Henry Davis: 2 SB / 1 CS, 66.7% success -- catcher with some baserunning upside.
- Bryan Reynolds: 3 SB / 2 CS, 60% success.
- Brandon Lowe: 3 SB / 2 CS, 60% success.
- Nick Yorke: 1 SB / 0 CS, 100% (1-attempt sample).
- Joey Bart: 1 SB / 1 CS, 50% (catcher).
2J: DEFENSIVE CONTEXT
| Player | POS | G | DP | E | Fld% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Scott | CF | 136 | 3 | 6 | 0.982 |
| Masyn Winn | SS | 129 | 64 | 3 | 0.994 |
| Pedro Pagés | C | 110 | 6 | 5 | 0.994 |
| Jordan Walker | RF | 108 | 2 | 4 | 0.981 |
| Ramon Urias | 3B | 78 | 20 | 4 | 0.979 |
| Nolan Gorman | 3B | 54 | 11 | 6 | 0.950 |
| Alec Burleson | 1B | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0.990 |
| Yohel Pozo | C | 46 | 0 | 5 | 0.982 |
| Alec Burleson | LF | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Thomas Saggese | 2B | 35 | 24 | 4 | 0.973 |
| Alec Burleson | RF | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0.983 |
| Thomas Saggese | SS | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0.988 |
| Nolan Gorman | 2B | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0.990 |
| Ramon Urias | 2B | 26 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Thomas Saggese | 3B | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0.939 |
| Nathan Church | CF | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| José Fermín | 2B | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera | C | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.989 |
| Nathan Church | RF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.833 |
| Victor Scott | RF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 1B | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Yohel Pozo | 1B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Nathan Church | LF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| José Fermín | 3B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Victor Scott | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| José Fermín | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Ramon Urias | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Pedro Pagés | 1B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Alec Burleson | P | 1 | 0 | 0 | -- |
| Pedro Pagés | 2B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| José Fermín | RF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Cardinals defensive context for a heavy-grounder pitching plan: Winn at SS is the lineup's elite defender (.994 / 64 DP across 129 G in 2025). Pages at C carries .994 across 110 G. Burleson at 1B (.990 across 50 G with 27 DP) anchors the right side. The vulnerability: Gorman at 3B at .950 across 54 G with 6 errors -- the left-side hot corner is the lineup's defensive risk if Mangum or Cruz pull grounders. Walker in RF (.981 across 108 G) and Scott in CF (.982 across 136 G) round out the outfield defense.
2K: BALLPARK CONTEXT & HEAD-TO-HEAD
Recent head-to-head: 2025 Cardinals 6-7, 2024 Cardinals 8-5, 2023 Cardinals 4-9, 2022 Cardinals 13-6.
PNC Park plays as a pitcher-leaning venue, particularly against right-handed pull power. The deep right-center configuration and river-side air patterns work against fly-ball lift -- a setting that fits Leahy's 2025 batted-ball profile (44.2% GB%, 26.9% FB%) and his 2026 GB% spike.
2L: BATTER K%/BB% PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 544 | 79 | 14.5% | 39 | 7.2% |
| Masyn Winn | 537 | 102 | 19.0% | 34 | 6.3% |
| Victor Scott | 463 | 111 | 24.0% | 42 | 9.1% |
| Ivan Herrera | 450 | 84 | 18.7% | 43 | 9.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 402 | 136 | 33.8% | 47 | 11.7% |
| Jordan Walker | 396 | 126 | 31.8% | 29 | 7.3% |
| Ramon Urias | 391 | 88 | 22.5% | 27 | 6.9% |
| Pedro Pagés | 389 | 107 | 27.5% | 19 | 4.9% |
| Thomas Saggese | 295 | 83 | 28.1% | 16 | 5.4% |
| Yohel Pozo | 168 | 22 | 13.1% | 7 | 4.2% |
| José Fermín | 70 | 10 | 14.3% | 8 | 11.4% |
| Nathan Church | 65 | 18 | 27.7% | 3 | 4.6% |
Cardinals 2025 K%/BB% read: Gorman 33.8% K%, Walker 31.8%, Saggese 28.1%, Church 27.7%, Pages 27.5% -- five regulars north of 27%. Burleson 14.5% K% / 7.2% BB% is the contact anchor. Pages 4.9% BB% and Pozo 4.2% BB% are the lowest walk rates on the active roster. League average: 22.2% K%, 9.6% BB%.
Pirates
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 654 | 173 | 26.5% | 57 | 8.7% |
| Marcell Ozuna | 591 | 144 | 24.4% | 94 | 15.9% |
| Brandon Lowe | 553 | 149 | 26.9% | 38 | 6.9% |
| Oneil Cruz | 544 | 174 | 32.0% | 64 | 11.8% |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 544 | 109 | 20.0% | 58 | 10.7% |
| Jake Mangum | 428 | 64 | 15.0% | 19 | 4.4% |
| Spencer Horwitz | 411 | 73 | 17.8% | 44 | 10.7% |
| Nick Gonzales | 408 | 73 | 17.9% | 21 | 5.1% |
| Joey Bart | 332 | 93 | 28.0% | 40 | 12.0% |
| Henry Davis | 281 | 76 | 27.0% | 18 | 6.4% |
| Nick Yorke | 72 | 15 | 20.8% | 3 | 4.2% |
| Billy Cook | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% |
Pirates 2025 K%/BB% read: Cruz 32.0% K% is the lineup extreme, paired with 11.8% BB% (high-K, high-BB profile). Bart (28.0% / 12.0%), Reynolds (26.5% / 8.7%), Lowe (26.9% / 6.9%), Davis (27.0% / 6.4%) round out the high-K core. Ozuna 15.9% BB% is elite plate discipline. Mangum 15.0% K% / 4.4% BB% is the polar opposite -- contact-heavy, swing-early. Five Pirates regulars sit at K% 26%+ -- against Leahy's 22.0% K% (Section 2N), the punchout volume is there if his command stays inside the strike zone.
2M: BATTER BATTED BALL PROFILE
Cardinals
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | 398 | 42.0% | 33.4% | 24.6% |
| Masyn Winn | 376 | 39.6% | 34.0% | 26.3% |
| Ivan Herrera | 285 | 52.6% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Victor Scott | 259 | 40.2% | 32.0% | 27.8% |
| Ramon Urias | 253 | 45.1% | 29.2% | 25.7% |
| Pedro Pagés | 243 | 44.9% | 30.9% | 24.3% |
| Jordan Walker | 231 | 48.9% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| Nolan Gorman | 199 | 30.2% | 41.7% | 28.1% |
| Thomas Saggese | 189 | 41.8% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
| Yohel Pozo | 133 | 40.6% | 33.1% | 26.3% |
| José Fermín | 46 | 37.0% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| Nathan Church | 37 | 67.6% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
Cardinals 2025 batted-ball notes: Gorman is the only roster regular tilted FB-heavy (30.2% GB / 41.7% FB) -- the bat that lifts. Herrera 52.6% GB% is the highest among regulars with 200+ BIP. Church 67.6% GB% in a 37-BIP sample is extreme. Burleson 42.0% / 33.4% is balanced.
Pirates
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 398 | 49.5% | 21.6% | 28.9% |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 357 | 47.6% | 27.2% | 25.2% |
| Jake Mangum | 337 | 62.0% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
| Brandon Lowe | 327 | 42.2% | 30.3% | 27.5% |
| Marcell Ozuna | 322 | 43.8% | 32.6% | 23.6% |
| Nick Gonzales | 303 | 47.9% | 26.7% | 25.4% |
| Spencer Horwitz | 280 | 40.0% | 32.9% | 27.1% |
| Oneil Cruz | 277 | 52.7% | 25.3% | 22.0% |
| Joey Bart | 188 | 53.2% | 21.8% | 25.0% |
| Henry Davis | 169 | 34.9% | 42.6% | 22.5% |
| Nick Yorke | 53 | 54.7% | 26.4% | 18.9% |
| Billy Cook | 5 | 40.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% |
Pirates 2025 batted-ball read: ground-ball-heavy lineup. Mangum 62.0% GB% (paired with .344 GB AVG -- elite slap-and-run), Bart 53.2%, Cruz 52.7%, Reynolds 49.5%, Gonzales 47.9%, O'Hearn 47.6%. Six regulars at 47%+ GB% versus Leahy (44.2% career GB%, 64.2% in 2026) -- a ground-ball collision. The exception: Davis 42.6% FB% with .028 FB AVG (Section 2G) -- a fly-ball profile that has not produced. Yorke 54.7% GB% in a 53-BIP sample is similarly tilted toward the dirt.
2N: PITCHER K%/BB% PROFILE
| Pitcher | IP | K | K% | BB | BB% | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | 88.0 | 80 | 22.0% | 28 | 7.7% | 2.86 |
2026 to date: 13.5% K% / 9.9% BB% across 24.0 IP. 2025 baseline: 22.0% K% / 7.7% BB% / 2.86 K/BB ratio. The 2025 K% sits dead-on league average (22.2%) and the 2025 BB% is below league average (9.6%) -- a slight command edge. The 2026 trend is moving the wrong way on both ends: lower whiffs, more walks, and 4 HR allowed in 24.0 IP. The 2025 baseline is the more stable read; the 2026 starts are a small sample but a directional flag.
KEY MATCHUPS & WATCHLIST
Key Matchups
Cruz vs Leahy. 1-for-3 with 1 BB and 2 K in BvP (Section 2B). Cruz's 32.0% K% (Section 2L) intersects Leahy's 22.0% K% (Section 2N), and his 88.4% SB rate (38/5 in 2025, Section 2I) is the in-game variable once he reaches.
Lowe vs Leahy. Lowe is the LHB power risk: .280/.335/.538 vs RHP in 2025 with 26 HR (Section 2C). Leahy's vs-LHB OPS is .616 (Section 2D). Lowe's 42.2% GB / 30.3% FB profile (Section 2M) is balanced enough to hurt at any pitch height.
O'Hearn vs Leahy. 1-for-1 with 1 BB in BvP (Section 2B), .282/.370/.427 vs RHP in 2025 (Section 2C). Leahy's vs-LHB BB rate is 11.7% -- O'Hearn's 10.7% BB% (Section 2L) is a discipline match. Expect deep counts.
Mangum on the bases. 62.0% GB% (Section 2M) paired with 81.8% SB rate (27/6, Section 2I). Ground ball plus speed pressures Gorman at 3B (.950 fielding, 6 E in 54 G, Section 2J).
Watchlist
-- Leahy TTO1 ceiling (355 PA, .588 OPS). First time through the order is the strongest documented inning of his profile (Section 2E). Once the lineup turns over the second time, the data thins -- innings 4-5 are the bridge.
-- Battery uncertainty. Pages-Leahy 62.0 IP / 3.05 ERA. Pozo-Leahy 16.0 IP / 2.25 ERA. Herrera-Leahy 3.0 IP / 6.00 ERA (Section 2H). Tonight's catcher choice is its own scouting variable, especially with Cruz and Mangum running.
-- Bullpen middle innings. Romero (88.5% IR strand) and McGreevy (100% / 3 IR) are the green-flag arms. Svanson (50.0%), Fernandez (50.0%), Graceffo (54.5%) are the danger group with men on (Section 2F). Sequencing once Leahy exits decides the middle innings.
-- Pirates SP undeclared. No starter named in the data file. Cardinals BvP and matchup specifics for the opposing arm cannot be drawn until the Pirates announce.
QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES
1. /scouting Cruz vs Leahy
2. /scouting Brandon Lowe vs RHP 2025
3. /scouting Mangum ground ball rate
4. /scouting Leahy TTO2 splits
5. /scouting Cardinals bullpen inherited runners
6. /scouting PNC Park park factors
7. /scouting Pirates running game vs Cardinals catchers
700 CLARK -- POWERED BY BASES.CHAT | HISTORICAL DATA THROUGH 2025