SECTION 1: 2026 SEASON CONTEXT
NL Central
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 8-3 | - | W5 |
| Brewers | 8-3 | - | L1 |
| Pirates | 7-4 | 1.0 | W1 |
| Cardinals | 6-5 | 2.0 | W1 |
| Cubs | 5-6 | 3.0 | W1 |
NL East
| Team | W-L | GB | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 7-4 | - | W4 |
| Braves | 7-5 | 0.5 | W1 |
| Phillies | 6-5 | 1.0 | L1 |
| Marlins | 6-5 | 1.0 | L2 |
| Nationals | 4-7 | 3.0 | L1 |
Starting Pitchers
Michael McGreevy (STL, RHP) -- 0-1, 2.53 ERA, 10.2 IP, 9 K, 2 BB, 0.84 WHIP in 2 GS. Ground ball pitcher (49.2% GB rate). Low-K, low-BB profile (14.5% K%, 5.0% BB%). Vulnerability: .318 AVG allowed to LHB (.861 OPS). Better on the road: 3.55 ERA away vs 5.22 home (2025).
Miles Mikolas (WSH, RHP) -- 0-2, 14.46 ERA, 9.1 IP, 8 K, 4 BB, 2.25 WHIP in 2 GS. Former Cardinal (8 seasons, 2018-2025). Signed 1-year/$2.25M with WSH in Feb 2026. First start vs former team. Career at Nationals Park: 5-2, 2.79 ERA. Home split 2025: 3.20 ERA. TTO2 danger zone: .838 OPS.
Key Injuries
STL: Nootbaar (60-day IL, heel surgery). Dobbins (torn ACL). Pushard (15-day IL, knee). Winn returned from hip.
WSH: Gray (60-day IL, flexor strain). Herz (60-day IL, UCL). Williams (60-day IL, elbow). Schultz recalled.
SECTION 2: HISTORICAL DEPTH
All historical data from 2025 season via Retrosheet/Lahman. Career BvP from all available seasons.
2a: Cardinals Batters vs Mikolas (Career BvP)
| Player | PA | AB | H | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urias R | 2 | 2 | 1 | .500 | .500 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Burleson, Herrera, Wetherholt, Walker, Fermin, Winn, Church, Gorman, Pages, Saggese, Scott, Pozo -- No data | |||||||||
Mikolas was a Cardinal through 2025 -- current STL hitters never faced him as an opponent. Urias: 2 PA (small sample).
2b: Nationals Batters vs McGreevy (Career BvP)
No Nationals batter has career BvP data against McGreevy. No significant bench BvP history.
2c: Cardinals vs RHP (2025 Platoon Splits)
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burleson L | 419 | .296 | .353 | .478 | 15 | 32 | 59 |
| Winn R | 374 | .251 | .309 | .368 | 7 | 23 | 71 |
| Scott L | 332 | .221 | .310 | .317 | 5 | 31 | 75 |
| Herrera R | 328 | .268 | .343 | .399 | 10 | 24 | 66 |
| Gorman L | 309 | .201 | .294 | .349 | 9 | 37 | 111 |
| Walker R | 289 | .200 | .263 | .291 | 4 | 21 | 94 |
| Pages R | 276 | .225 | .264 | .364 | 9 | 12 | 72 |
| Urias R | 273 | .233 | .278 | .367 | 7 | 17 | 57 |
| Saggese R | 227 | .254 | .305 | .340 | 1 | 15 | 63 |
| Pozo R | 126 | .217 | .254 | .358 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| Fermin R | 59 | .280 | .379 | .420 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Church L | 51 | .114 | .216 | .182 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
2c: Nationals vs RHP (2025 Platoon Splits)
| Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wood L | 463 | .244 | .359 | .464 | 19 | 68 | 150 |
| Abrams L | 435 | .269 | .332 | .477 | 15 | 29 | 72 |
| Lile L | 274 | .312 | .359 | .532 | 7 | 18 | 39 |
| Young R | 261 | .234 | .287 | .294 | 2 | 16 | 46 |
| Ruiz S | 213 | .235 | .263 | .299 | 1 | 6 | 22 |
| House R | 192 | .242 | .260 | .346 | 4 | 6 | 52 |
| Mead R | 138 | .258 | .312 | .367 | 2 | 6 | 40 |
| Nunez S | 57 | .212 | .250 | .346 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| Wiemer R | 27 | .259 | .259 | .370 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
2d: Pitcher Platoon Splits (2025)
| Pitcher | vs | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGreevy | LHB | 190 | .318 | .368 | .543 | .861 | 9 | 27 |
| McGreevy | RHB | 210 | .225 | .255 | .325 | .550 | 3 | 31 |
| Mikolas | LHB | 364 | .270 | .316 | .496 | .766 | 17 | 53 |
| Mikolas | RHB | 305 | .274 | .310 | .488 | .762 | 12 | 47 |
2d-HA: Pitcher Home/Away Splits (2025)
| Pitcher | Split | BF | IP | ERA | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGreevy | Away | 188 | 45.9 | 3.55 | 24 | 9 | 6 |
| McGreevy | Home | 212 | 50.0 | 5.22 | 34 | 11 | 6 |
| Mikolas | Away | 334 | 74.9 | 5.91 | 52 | 16 | 22 |
| Mikolas | Home | 335 | 81.9 | 3.20 | 48 | 21 | 7 |
Today at Nationals Park -- McGreevy pitching away (3.55 ERA, better split). Mikolas pitching at home (3.20 ERA in 2025, but new home park).
2e: Times Through Order (2025)
| Pitcher | TTO | PA | AVG | SLG | OPS | HR | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGreevy | 1 | 154 | .282 | .465 | .747 | 5 | 22 | 8 |
| McGreevy | 2 | 152 | .271 | .417 | .688 | 4 | 14 | 6 |
| McGreevy | 3 | 94 | .241 | .379 | .620 | 3 | 22 | 6 |
| Mikolas | 1 | 279 | .254 | .488 | .742 | 14 | 46 | 16 |
| Mikolas | 2 | 277 | .291 | .547 | .838 | 14 | 45 | 15 |
| Mikolas | 3 | 113 | .269 | .365 | .634 | 1 | 9 | 6 |
2f: Inherited Runners Profile (Cardinals Relievers, 2025)
| Reliever | IR | Scored | Strand% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romero | 26 | 3 | 88.5% |
| O'Brien | 10 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Leahy | 29 | 11 | 62.1% |
| Graceffo | 11 | 5 | 54.5% |
| Svanson | 26 | 13 | 50.0% |
League average strand rate: ~68-72%. Romero is the fireman. Svanson and Graceffo are liabilities with runners on.
2g: Pitcher Batted Ball (2025)
| Pitcher | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGreevy | 307 | 49.2% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Mikolas | 500 | 42.4% | 33.6% | 23.2% |
2h: Battery Pairing (McGreevy)
| Catcher | G | IP | ERA | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pages | 14 | 80.7 | 4.24 | .266 |
| Pozo | 1 | 5.7 | 0.00 | .056 |
2i: Baserunning Matchup (WSH, 2025)
Abrams: 31 SB, 3 CS (91.2% -- elite). Nunez: 9 SB, 1 CS (90.0%). Wood: 15 SB, 7 CS (68.2%). Young: 15 SB, 11 CS (57.7%). Lile: 8 SB, 6 CS (57.1%). McGreevy's 49.2% GB rate should help contain the running game.
2k: Ballpark Context
Cardinals have dominated this matchup: 17-9 vs Washington from 2022-2025 (5-1 in 2025). Nationals Park multi-year park factor: 96 (slightly pitcher-friendly). Early 2026 one-year factor: 116 (batter-friendly, tiny sample -- do not overweight).
2l: Batter K%/BB% Profile (2025)
Cardinals
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burleson | 544 | 79 | 14.5% | 39 | 7.2% |
| Winn | 537 | 102 | 19% | 34 | 6.3% |
| Scott | 463 | 111 | 24% | 42 | 9.1% |
| Herrera | 450 | 84 | 18.7% | 43 | 9.6% |
| Gorman | 402 | 136 | 33.8% | 47 | 11.7% |
| Walker | 396 | 126 | 31.8% | 29 | 7.3% |
| Urias | 391 | 88 | 22.5% | 27 | 6.9% |
| Pages | 389 | 107 | 27.5% | 19 | 4.9% |
| Saggese | 295 | 83 | 28.1% | 16 | 5.4% |
| Pozo | 168 | 22 | 13.1% | 7 | 4.2% |
| Fermin | 70 | 10 | 14.3% | 8 | 11.4% |
| Church | 65 | 18 | 27.7% | 3 | 4.6% |
Nationals
| Player | PA | K | K% | BB | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wood | 689 | 221 | 32.1% | 85 | 12.3% |
| Abrams | 635 | 125 | 19.7% | 37 | 5.8% |
| Young | 364 | 65 | 17.9% | 27 | 7.4% |
| Lile | 350 | 56 | 16% | 21 | 6% |
| House | 274 | 78 | 28.5% | 8 | 2.9% |
| Ruiz | 267 | 26 | 9.7% | 8 | 3% |
| Mead | 264 | 63 | 23.9% | 15 | 5.7% |
| Nunez | 92 | 20 | 21.7% | 8 | 8.7% |
| Wiemer | 61 | 23 | 37.7% | 2 | 3.3% |
2m: Batter Batted Ball Profile (2025)
Cardinals
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burleson | 398 | 42% | 33.4% | 24.6% |
| Winn | 376 | 39.6% | 34% | 26.3% |
| Herrera | 285 | 52.6% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Scott | 259 | 40.2% | 32% | 27.8% |
| Urias | 253 | 45.1% | 29.2% | 25.7% |
| Pages | 243 | 44.9% | 30.9% | 24.3% |
| Walker | 231 | 48.9% | 29.4% | 21.6% |
| Gorman | 199 | 30.2% | 41.7% | 28.1% |
| Saggese | 189 | 41.8% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
| Pozo | 133 | 40.6% | 33.1% | 26.3% |
| Fermin | 46 | 37% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| Church | 37 | 67.6% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
Nationals
| Player | BIP | GB% | FB% | LD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abrams | 436 | 42% | 33.7% | 24.3% |
| Wood | 347 | 54.8% | 16.1% | 29.1% |
| Lile | 257 | 37.7% | 28.4% | 33.9% |
| Young | 246 | 54.1% | 19.5% | 26.4% |
| Ruiz | 227 | 49.3% | 26.9% | 23.8% |
| House | 179 | 48.6% | 22.9% | 28.5% |
| Mead | 174 | 38.5% | 37.4% | 24.1% |
| Nunez | 56 | 55.4% | 19.6% | 25% |
| Wiemer | 29 | 55.2% | 17.2% | 27.6% |
2n: Pitcher K%/BB% Profile (2025)
| Pitcher | IP | K | K% | BB | BB% | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGreevy | 95.7 | 58 | 14.5% | 20 | 5.0% | 2.9 |
| Mikolas | 156.3 | 100 | 14.9% | 37 | 5.5% | 2.7 |
QUICK REFERENCE -- IN-GAME QUERIES
1. "How has Miles Mikolas performed against the Cardinals historically?"
2. "What are McGreevy's platoon splits against left-handed hitters?"
3. "CJ Abrams stolen base numbers and success rate"
4. "Cardinals bullpen inherited runner strand rates"
5. "How do the Cardinals perform against the Nationals in recent seasons?"
6. "McGreevy's times through the order splits"
7. "Nationals Park home run park factor"
700 CLARK -- POWERED BY BASES.CHAT | HISTORICAL DATA THROUGH 2025